The Atlanta Braves (13-16) play the Washington Nationals (12-13) Wednesday in Game 2 of their three-game set at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Atlanta beat Washington 6-1 Tuesday thanks to an outstanding game by RHP Huascar Ynoa both on the mound and in the batter’s box.
Ynoa pitched 7 scoreless innings and hit a 6th inning grand slam to put the game out of reach.
Season series: Braves lead 3-1.
LHP Max Fried makes his fourth start for the Braves. He is 0-1 with an 11.45 ERA (11 IP, 14 ER), 2.55 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 through 3 starts.
- Last outing: Loss in 4 IP with 7 ER on 9 H and 2 BB with 3 K in Atlanta’s 14-8 loss to the Miami Marlins April 13. Fried exited the loss with a right hamstring strain and this is his first start since.
- Career vs. Nationals: 1-2 with a 6.48 ERA (25 IP, 18 ER), 1.72 WHIP and 9.4 K/9 across 6 starts and 1 relief appearance.
- vs. Nationals on the current roster: 49 at-bats with a .388/.456/.571 slash line and 2 HR.
- Career at Washington’s ballpark: 0-1 with a 14.21 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 3.16 WHIP and 9.9 K/9 over 3 starts.
RHP Erick Fedde gets the start for the Nationals. Fedde is 2-2 with a 4.43 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 5 starts.
- Last outing: Win in 6 IP with 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB and 7 K in Washington’s 8-2 victory over the Toronto Blue Jays Wednesday.
- Career vs. Braves: 0-2 with a 14.06 ERA (16 IP, 25 ER), 3.00 WHIP and 7.3 K/9 across 4 starts and 1 relief appearance.
- vs. Braves on the current roster: 45 at-bats with a .378/.517/.622 slash line and 2 HR.
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Braves at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Braves -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Nationals +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (+120) | Nationals +1.5 (-145)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Braves 9, Nationals 4
Money line (ML)
GIMME the BRAVES (-135) for 1 unit because even though both projected starters haven’t looked good against their opponent, Fried has much better stuff than Fedde and Atlanta’s lineup is far more productive than Washington’s.
Fedde’s numbers against this Braves lineup are shockingly bad and Washington’s bullpen is a bottom-3 unit in xFIP, SIERA and K-BB%.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS despite my projected score because the payout of Braves -1.5 (+120) isn’t big enough.
Over/Under (O/U)
“LEAN” to the OVER 9 (+100) alternate line for a half unit mostly based on the numbers of the starting pitchers against their respective opponent. Washington’s lineup is also top-3 in wOBA, wRC+ and OPS against left-handed pitching.
Also, the Braves and Nationals are 10-3-1 O/U in their last 14 meetings and the Over cashed in five of their past seven games in Washington.
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