The Atlanta Braves (25-13) and Toronto Blue Jays (22-16) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Saturday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Blue Jays lead 1-0
The Braves lost 3-0 as -145 favorites at the Blue Jays Friday. Atlanta has lost back-to-back games for the 1st time since April 23.
The Blue Jays closed as +134 home underdogs in Friday’s win. OF Daulton Varsho homered for the Blue Jays, who have won 4 of their last 6 games.
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Braves at Blue Jays projected starters
RHP Bryce Elder vs. RHP José Berríos
Elder (3-0, 1.74 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 41 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 4 K in a 3-2 win in extra innings vs. Baltimore Orioles Sunday
- First career start vs. Blue Jays
Berríos (3-3, 4.91 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 40 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in an 8-2 win at Pittsburgh Pirates last Saturday
- Only career start vs. Braves: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 9 ER, 9 H, 4 BB, 7 K in a 12-7 loss August 6, 2019
Braves at Blue Jays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Blue Jays -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves +1.5 (-190) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Braves at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 6, Braves 5
Moneyline
BET BLUE JAYS (-125).
Toronto appears to have come out of its recent slump after Friday’s win. The Blue Jays have played well at Rogers Centre lately and are 6-1 in their last 7 home games. Toronto is 20-6 in its last 26 home games vs. right-handed starters and should be able to take advantage of Elder, who only has 16 career starts in the majors.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Braves are 4th-best away team at covering the run line this season at 68.4%. Atlanta +1.5 (-190) should hit, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Blue Jays moneyline is the better play. Bet Toronto moneyline and/or the total instead.
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Over/Under
BET OVER 9.5 (+100).
The Over is 21-6-2 in Atlanta’s last 29 road games vs. teams with a winning record and 24-9-1 in its last 34 after scoring 2 or fewer runs.
The Over has hit in 7 of Toronto’s last 9 games vs. right-handed starters and should cash again Saturday with an unproven pitcher like Elder on the mound.
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