Atlanta Braves at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Atlanta Braves at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Braves (59-28) and Tampa Bay Rays (57-34) meet Saturday for Game 2 of a 3-game series. First pitch from Tropicana Field is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0

Atlanta won 2-1 as -103 road favorites in Game 1 of this series Friday. Tampa Bay started the game out hot with a solo home run in the 1st inning and held that 1-0 lead until the 4th inning. During that inning, C Sean Murphy hit a 2-run home run to give the Braves the lead and ultimately score the only runs for Atlanta during that game. SP Charlie Morton pitched 6 1/3 innings, allowing only 1 run and 2 walks with 6 strikeouts.

The Braves have now won back-to-back games and now sit at 11-1 in their last 12 overall. The Rays have dropped each of their last 6 straight games, including 4 straight home losses. Tampa Bay sits at 34-14 at home on the year while Atlanta sits at 29-13 on the road.

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Braves at Rays projected starters

RHP Spencer Strider vs. RHP Taj Bradley

Strider (10-2, 3.66 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 14.2 K/9 through 98 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 9 K in a 6-3 home win Sunday vs. Miami Marlins
  • Leads MLB with 155 K’s
  • First career start vs. Tampa Bay

Bradley (5-4, 5.27 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 through 56 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 7-6 road loss Sunday vs. Seattle Mariners
  • 3-2 with a 5.70 ERA, 1.27 WHIP in 5 home starts; 2-2, 4.96 ERA, 1.47 WHIP in 7 road starts
  • First career start vs. Atlanta

Braves at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Rays +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+110) | Rays +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Braves at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Rays 5

Moneyline

BET BRAVES (-150).

The Braves are so much hotter than Tampa Bay, and all trends suggest that the Braves should win this game. The Braves are 9-1 in their last 10 overall while the Rays are 3-7 in their last 10. The Braves are also 5-0 in Strider’s last 5 starts; whereas the Rays are 2-3 in Bradley’s last 5 starts, including back-to-back losses.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN RAYS +1.5 (-135). 

The Rays are the much colder team but are still one of the best teams in the league. Both teams are evenly matched as they are 5-5 in the last 10 Atlanta-Tampa Bay meetings, and the last game finished with a 1-run margin. I don’t see this game being a blowout.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-105). 

For Atlanta the Over is 3-2 in Strider’s last 5 starts, and for Tampa Bay, the Over has hit in 3-straight Bradley starts and 4 of his last 5 starts overall. The Over is also 7-3 in the last 10 matchups overall and 4-2 in the last 6 meetings overall.

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