The Atlanta Braves (58-40) and Philadelphia Phillies (50-46) continue their 3-game NL East series Tuesday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: tied 4-4.
The Braves lost Monday’s opener 6-4 and are 2-2 since the All-Star break. Atlanta is 16-6 with an .810 OPS over its last 22 games on the road.
The Phillies snapped a 3-game skid with Monday’s triumph. On offense that had scuffled of late (.632 OPS July 6-24) cranked out 12 hits in the win.
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Braves at Phillies projected starters
RHP Spencer Strider vs. RHP Aaron Nola
Strider (4-3, 3.03 ERA) owns a 1.05 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 13.8 K/9 through 74 1/3 IP across 10 starts and 11 bullpen appearances.
- Allowed just 2 runs over 22 2/3 innings pitched across 4 starts from June 26-July 12 but was tagged for 5 runs in a 4-frame stint July 17 at the Washington Nationals in his last start.
- Pitched 2 2/3 scoreless innings in relief vs. Philadelphia May 25.
Nola (6-7, 3.13 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 0.91 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 126 2/3 IP.
- Current Atlanta bats own an aggregate .749 OPS against him.
- Has given Philly at least 7 innings in 8 straight starts. Owns a 2.25 ERA over that stretch.
- Has scuffled at home of late with a 4.91 ERA across his last 33 IP at Citizens Bank Park.
Braves at Phillies odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:19 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Braves -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Phillies +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+135) | Phillies +1.5 (-170)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Braves at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 4, Braves 3
Money line
Philadelphia is undervalued by its 10-16 mark in 1-run games. The club’s 4.63 runs per game versus 4.15 allowed is a profile worthy of a few more wins than what shows in the standings.
The youngster Strider is pitching on 8 days’ rest due to the All-Star break and is a wild card.
Philly’s bullpen has improved over recent weeks and is in good shape at the back end.
The Phillies are the lean, but early betting has swayed the line into likely no-leverage territory. PASS or revisit if the Philadelphia payout reaches +105 or better.
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Run line/Against the spread
A Phillies +1.5 play — one with an Under lean on a low total — would be attractive at -155. PASS otherwise.
Over/Under
The surface numbers for both starters are very much for real, and the righty-righty matchup avoids the platoon strength of both offenses, which is facing left-handed pitching.
On a low-humidity evening in Philadelphia, TAKE THE UNDER 7.5 (-107).
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