The Atlanta Braves (43-32) and Philadelphia Phillies (39-36) meet Wednesday night at 7:05 p.m. ET to continue a 3-game series at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Atlanta leads 2-2.
The Braves are looking to stay hot on the road. Atlanta is 10-2 over its last 12 games away from home.
The Phillies have pitched well in June, but the bats have been in and out. They seem to be out: Philadelphia is 3-5 with a .593 OPS over its last 8 games.
Braves at Phillies projected starters
RHP Kyle Wright vs. LHP Ranger Suarez
Wright (8-4, 3.18 ERA) has made 14 starts this season. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 85 IP.
- Has fared well against lefty bats (.611 OPS), and that is a big key against the Phillies.
- Has allowed 9 runs on 21 hits over his last 2 starts (11 1/3 IP).
Suarez (6-4, 4.23 ERA) owns a 1.48 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 72 1/3 IP over 14 starts.
- Has been solid and consistent of late, notching a 3.45 ERA since May 31.
- Has had some missteps at home (5.10 ERA, 1.73 WHIP).
Braves at Phillies odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 7:55 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Braves -140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Phillies +115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL): Braves -1.5 (+115) | Phillies +1.5 (-140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)
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Braves at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 5, Phillies 3
Money line
Atlanta has the hotter offense, and it’s one that performs quite well on the road. The Braves’ .740 road OPS ranks 4th in the league.
Wright has been perhaps better of late than what pops in his surface line. Atlanta (-135) would be a workable play on the money line. PASS otherwise.
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Run line/Against the spread
The Phillies are a club whose June successes came against a suspect schedule.
Wright has perhaps run into some bad rates around the margins of late, and a mid-summer surge would not be a surprise.
Suarez has had some trouble against right-handed bats (.809 OPS allowed). The Braves lean more to the right than most lineups, and their .809 OPS against southpaws ranks second in MLB.
TAKE ATLANTA -1.5 (+115).
Over/Under
There are multiple reasons to sway either way in this matchup. The signals crisscross, which should likely make us avoid the O/U. But there is a slight lean toward the Under. The price has come down just enough to LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-102).
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