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The Atlanta Braves (57-49) and the Milwaukee Brewers (61-46) wrap up a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from American Family Field is at 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Braves picked up a 5-1 victory Tuesday, cashing as -102 underdogs with the Under (8.5) connecting. Atlanta has won 5 of the past 6 head-to-head meetings since July 23, 2023, while the Over has cashed in 4 of the past 5 in the series.
Atlanta has scored 25 runs in the past 5 games, or 5.0 runs per game (RPG). Braves pitching has allowed 6 or more runs in 5 of the past 10 outings, yielding 50 runs in the span (5.0 RPG) since July 20. Atlanta is 3-7 in the 10-game stretch, too.
Milwaukee’s offense has been feast or famine lately, scoring 6 or more runs in 5 of the past 11 games, while managing 3 or fewer runs in the other 6 contests. The Over is 3-1-1 in the past 5 games, while the total has gone high at a 5-1-1 clip in the past 7 games at home.
Braves at Brewers projected starters
LHP Chris Sale vs. RHP Freddy Peralta
Sale (13-3, 2.68 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 through 117 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 7 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 9 K in 3-2 road loss in 10 innings vs. New York Mets Thursday
- 2024 road splits: 5-3, 2.66 ERA (61 IP, 18 ER), 0.97 WHIP, .194 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 17 BB, 82 K in 10 starts
- Career vs. Brewers: 1-0, 1.13 ERA (16 IP, 2 ER), 0.56 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 2 starts, last facing them in 2015 as member of Chicago White Sox
Peralta (6-6, 3.94 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 through 114 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER (5 R), 6 H (2 HR), 5 BB, 4 K in 6-2 home setback vs. Miami Marlins Friday
- 2024 home splits: 3-3, 4.55 ERA (55 1/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.21 WHIP, .246 OBA, 15 BB, 70 K in 10 starts
- Career vs. Braves (regular season): 3-2, 4.45 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 in 6 appearances (5 starts)
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Braves at Brewers odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:21 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -134 (bet $134 to win $100) | Brewers +114 (bet $100 to win $114)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+136) | Brewers +1.5 (-164)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Braves at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 4, Brewers 1
Moneyline
The BRAVES (-134) are a solid play behind the All-Star Sale in this series finale.
While the Brewers (+114) are in 1st place in the NL Central, and 1 of just 3 teams in the NL with 60+ wins, Milwaukee is a very ordinary 14-14 in 28 tries against left-handed starting pitchers.
Run line/Against the spread
If you’re a little less on the conservative side, instead of the moneyline, go with Braves -1.5 (+136) at plus-money.
Atlanta has 3 wins in the past 4 outings, and each of the victories have been by 4 or more runs. So, if you like the Braves, you should like them to cover the run line.
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Over/Under
UNDER 7 (-110) is the play, as scoring should be at a premium with 2 solid pitchers on the hill.
The total has gone low at a 6-4 pace in the past 10 road games for the Braves, and the Under is 3-2 in the past 5 starts by the veteran Sale.
For the Brewers, while the Over is 3-1-1 in the past 5 games, the Under is 4-3-1 across the previous 8 outings. The Milwaukee offense has managed 3 or fewer runs in 6 of the past 8 tries.
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