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The Atlanta Braves (56-48) and Milwaukee Brewers (60-45) open a 3-game set at American Family Field Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Braves won 5-1 last year
The Braves split 4 games at the New York Mets Thursday through Sunday. They wrapped up the series with a 9-2 win as -101 underdogs as the Over (8.5) hit. Braves 1B Matt Olson homered for the 2nd time in as many games, but All-Star RHP Reynaldo López (forearm) was forced to leave after tossing 3 shutout innings.
The Brewers are coming off a 6-2 win as -203 home favorites against the Miami Marlins Sunday with the total (8) pushing. Brewers 1B Jake Bauers homered and tripled for Milwaukee, which avoided getting swept in 3 games by the Marlins.
Braves at Brewers projected starters
RHP Grant Holmes vs. RHP Colin Rea
Holmes (0-0, 2.70 ERA) makes his 1st start and 11th appearance. The 28-year-old rookie has a 0.94 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 23 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 5 K in relief appearance of 9-4 home loss vs. Cincinnati Reds Wednesday
- 2024 road stats: 0-0, 2.45 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 3.7 K/9 in 4 relief appearances
- Never faced Brewers before
Rea (9-3, 3.60 ERA) makes his 18th start and 21st appearance. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 110 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 1-0 win at Chicago Cubs Tuesday
- 2024 home stats: 6-2, 3.70 ERA (58 1/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 in 10 appearances (9 starts)
- Career vs. Braves: 1-0, 5.09 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 3 starts, including 0-0 with 9.00 ERA (5 IP, 5 ER) in 1 start last year
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Braves at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 9:52 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves +1.5 (-210) | Brewers -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Braves at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 4, Brewers 3
Moneyline
The BRAVES (+100) should be able to overcome their disadvantage at starting pitcher. They’re coming off back-to-back victories over the Mets, outscoring New York 13-2. While their rookie starter has only made 10 relief appearances in the majors, he has nearly 10 years of experience in the minors to fall back on.
Milwaukee’s offense has struggled recently, especially since losing All-Star OF Christian Yelich (back) Tuesday. The Brewers have scored 3 runs or fewer in 5 of their last 6 outings and were almost swept in 3 games by the Marlins, the 2nd-worst team in the National League.
BET BRAVES (+100).
Run line/Against the spread
Atlanta +1.5 (-210) is too expensive to play, especially since the line has such a high hold.
PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.
Over/Under
This total seems a little high. Rea has allowed 2 runs or fewer in 4 of his last 5 outings, and Milwaukee’s offense is averaging just 2.67 runs over the last 6 games. The expectation could be that Holmes will give up a lot of runs since he’s making his 1st MLB start, but he comes in with a lot more experience than the average rookie pitcher.
BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).
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