Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (96-51) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the Miami Marlins (76-72) on Saturday at loanDepot park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 9-2

The Braves were defeated 9-6 in the series opener Friday. OF Ronald Acuna Jr. left the game with a calf injury in the 7th inning with calf tightness, although he appears to have avoided serious injury. Atlanta is 16 games ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies in the NL East and already clinched the division.

Marlins 2B Luis Arraez surprisingly hit 2 home runs Friday, bringing his total to 9 on the season. Miami is currently a half-game behind the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Cincinnati Reds, who are both tied for the 3rd Wild Card spot in the NL.

Braves at Marlins projected starters

LHP Jared Shuster vs. RHP Bryan Hoeing 

Shuster (4-3, 5.26 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 through 49 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 8-5 road defeat vs. San Francisco Giants Aug. 27
  • 2023 road stats: 1-3, 6.56 ERA (23 1/3 IP, 17 ER) in 5 starts
  • First career start vs. Marlins

Hoeing (2-2, 4.04 ERA) makes his 7th start and 31st appearance. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 62 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 10-9 home win vs. St. Louis Cardinals on July 5
  • 2023 home stats: 1-0, 2.93 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 10 ER) in 4 starts and 8 relief appearances.
  • Career vs. Braves: 0-2, 13.03 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 14 ER) in 2 starts and 2 relief appearances

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Braves at Marlins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:04 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -132 (bet $132 to win $100) | Marlins +112 (bet $100 to win $112)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+118) | Marlins +1.5 (-142)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -118 | U: -104)

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Braves at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Marlins 4

Moneyline

Even with Shuster getting the start and the chance that Acuna is out, I’ll back the BRAVES (-132) on the road in Saturday’s divisional matchup. Atlanta has gone 9-2 in the first 11 meetings with Miami this season and will want to get even after Friday’s series-opening loss.

Run line/Against the spread

BRAVES -1.5 (+118) has fantastic value as Hoeing has mightily struggled against Atlanta in his career. All 9 of Atlanta’s wins over Miami this season have come by at least 2 runs.

Over/Under

OVER 9 (-118) is the play in this contest with Shuster and Hoeing on the mound. Hoeing has given up at least 4 earned runs in 3 of his 6 starts this season.

Meanwhile, Shuster hasn’t been much better as he’s allowed 3 earned runs or more in 3 of his last 5 starts. The Over is also 9-2 in the 11 meetings between these teams this season.

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