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The Atlanta Braves (88-45) and Los Angeles Dodgers (83-50) play the 2nd of a 4-game set at Dodger Stadium Friday. First pitch is at 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 2-2
The Braves opened the series with an 8-7 win Thursday. In that game, OF Ronald Acuna Jr., became the 1st player in MLB history to record 30 HRs and 60 SBs in a single season. The Braves have won 8 of 9 and are 16-4 over the last 20.
Friday’s defeat snapped a 4-game winning streak for the Dodgers. They are also 16-4 over the last 20 games and hold a 13 1/2-game lead in the NL West. They are just 21-19 against left-handed pitchers this season.
Braves at Dodgers projected starters
LHP Max Fried vs. LHP Julio Urias
Fried (5-1, 2.85 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 53 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 8 K Saturday in 7-3 win against the San Francisco Giants
- Last 5 regular season starts vs. Dodgers: 2-0, 2.35 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, 38 K in 30 2/3 IP
Urias (11-7, 4.41 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 112 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 9 K Saturday in 8-5 loss to Boston Red Sox
- 3 career regular season starts vs. Braves: 3-0, 2.12 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 21 K in 17 IP
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Braves at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:31 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Dodgers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+140) | Dodgers +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Braves at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 4, Braves 3
Moneyline
I’m siding with the home side in this pick ’em. Neither starter has been lights-out in recent starts, but LA is 46-22 at home and nearly came all the way back from 6-1 Thursday night. Urias is also a looming free agent, and this will be a big spotlight to earn some cheddar. The Braves are also 8 games into their road trip now, and fatigue could set in.
Take the DODGERS +100.
Run line/Against the spread
I prefer the Dodgers’ side here, but -165 is pretty costly to get a run of insurance. The better bet is to stick with the even-money ML.
PASS.
Over/Under
Atlanta is 4-6 O/U over the last 10, and LA is 7-3. The Over is 4-6 over the last 10 meetings and 3-1 this season. Urias has traded Overs and Unders in his last 5 starts with an Under result due. The Over is 3-2 in Fried’s last 5. Nine runs is a big number with 2 quality pitchers on the mound.
LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-105).
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