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The Atlanta Braves (87-45) and Los Angeles Dodgers (83-49) open a 4-game set Thursday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dodgers lead 2-1
The Braves won 7-3 as -232 favorites at the Colorado Rockies Wednesday, completing a season sweep. DH Marcell Ozuna homered for the 2nd straight game as Atlanta improved to 17-5 in its last 22 outings. The Braves have a 13½-game lead over the 2nd-place Philadelphia Phillies in the NL East.
The Dodgers swept the Arizona Diamondbacks in 3 games with a 7-0 win as -165 home favorites Wednesday. Los Angeles 1B Freddie Freeman and RF Jason Heyward both homered as the Dodgers won for a franchise record since moving from Brooklyn 24th time in August. The Dodgers are 14½ games ahead of the 2nd-place San Francisco Giants in the NL West.
Braves at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Spencer Strider vs. RHP Lance Lynn
Strider (15-4, 3.46 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 13.9 K/9 in 153 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 5-1 victory at Giants Friday
- 2023 road stats: 9-2, 3.12 ERA (75 IP, 26 ER) in 13 starts
- 2023 vs. Dodgers: Loss, 6 IP, 4 R (2 ER), 5 H, 3 BB, 11 K in 1 start, an 8-1 home loss May 23
- Career vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 1.50 ERA (12 IP, 2 ER) in 2 starts
Lynn (10-9, 5.56 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 150 2/3 innings with the Dodgers and Chicago White Sox.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 10 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 7-4 victory at Boston Red Sox Friday
- 2023 home stats: 4-4, 5.32 ERA (69 1/3 IP, 41 ER) in 12 starts
- 2023 vs. Braves: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 6-5 road victory with White Sox July 15
- Career vs. Braves (regular season): 4-3, 3.32 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 16 ER) in 7 starts
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Braves at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:32 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Dodgers +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+115) | Dodgers +1.5 (-140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Braves at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 4, Dodgers 3
Moneyline
The BRAVES (-145) are 36-20 this season as road favorites, according to TeamRankings.com, while the Dodgers are 0-2 as home underdogs.
Both teams have won 7 of their last 8 games, but Atlanta will have the clear advantage at starting pitcher in this matchup.
BET BRAVES (-145).
Run line/Against the spread
The Dodgers are 0-2 on the run line this season as home underdogs and their last 5 losses have been by multiple runs.
Atlanta is 29-27 on the run line this year as away favorites and its last 6 wins have been by 2 or more runs.
SPRINKLE on BRAVES -1.5 (+115).
Over/Under
Strider has allowed 1 or fewer earned runs in 5 of his 6 starts in August, while Lynn has allowed 3 or fewer in each of his 5 starts since being acquired by the Dodgers.
The Under has hit in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these teams and should cash again Thursday with Strider on the mound for the Braves.
BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).
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