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The Atlanta Braves (65-58) and Los Angeles Angels (53-70) meet Sunday as they close out a 3-game series. First pitch from Angel Stadium is scheduled for 4:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
Atlanta won Saturday’s meeting 11-3 after falling 3-2 in Friday’s series opener. A Braves offense that has been streaky of late ripped 6 extra-base hits in the contest.
The Angels failed to score 4 runs for a 5th straight game. Los Angeles is 1-4 with a whiff-heavy .595 OPS across those last 5 contests.
Braves at Angels projected starters
RHP Charlie Morton vs. RHP Jack Kochanowicz
Morton (6-7, 4.40 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 120 2/3 IP.
- Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 4-3 win at San Francisco Giants Tuesday
- Career vs. Angels: 4-2, 3.90 ERA (57 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 47 H, 24 BB, 54 K in 7 starts
- Effort at San Francisco broke a string of dodgy road starts; owns a 4.91 road ERA this season
Kochanowicz (1-2, 7.98 ERA) makes his 4th career start. He has a 1.64 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 4.3 K/9 in 14 2/3 IP.
- Last outing: Win, 7 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 6-4 win at Washington Nationals last Sunday
- Is a 23-year-old rookie who has never pitched above Double-A; made his Major League debut July 11
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Braves at Angels odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:12 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Braves -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Angels +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+100) | Angels +1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Braves at Angels picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 4, Angels 3
Moneyline
The Angels are just 5-10 over their last 15 home games.
Morton gives the visiting Braves a better foot forward on the mound. The Atlanta right-hander gets a lot of ground balls, but has been hurt by a 17.4% home runs/fly balls rate, a percentage that tends to have some gravity and reveal good or ill fortune when it strays too far from established norms. Morton also has a late-career history of good August-September finishes.
Current Los Angeles bats also own an abbreviated-but-uninspiring history against Morton.
The Atlanta bullpen is the more rested of the 2 clubs.
BACK THE BRAVES (-158); that tag is available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Run line/Against the spread
Both clubs have played a lot of 1-run games of late. PASS on trying to get the Braves by with a cushion.
Over/Under
With Morton’s history against Halos hitters and with the home team’s issues against righties (.673 OPS), the UNDER 9 (-105) is worth a look on a partial-unit basis.
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