The Atlanta Braves (35-39) and Cincinnati Reds (37-36) meet Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET to continue a four-game series at Great American Ball Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Drew Smyly is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 4-3 with a 5.11 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 through 61 2/3 IP over 12 starts.
Current Cincinnati bats own a small-sample .869 OPS against the veteran southpaw.
RHP Vladimir Gutierrez is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. The 25-year-old rookie is making his sixth start. He is 3-1 with a 3.86 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 4.5 BB/9 across 28 IP.
Gutierrez has thrown over 100 pitches in each of his last three starts. He had some control problems in his last turn and walked 4 in a Saturday start at the San Diego Padres.
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Braves at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:10 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Braves +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Reds -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Braves +1.5 (-185) | Reds -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Braves 5, Reds 4
Money line (ML)
Gutierrez has benefited from a .247 opponent BABIP. Peg Atlanta as having a lesser record than it should and Cincinnati swinging the other way.
TAKE THE BRAVES (+100).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the extra juice in this proposition.
Over/Under (O/U)
Cincinnati opened this series with an MLB-best .829 OPS at home and the Reds play in a home park that favors offense. However, this series is ripe for some contrarian Under betting. That side also benefits from both bullpens figuring as better than what shows in their surface numbers.
BACK THE UNDER 10.5 (-110).
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