[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
The Boston Red Sox (30-31) and the Atlanta Braves (34-24) conclude a 2-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Fenway Park is set for 1:35 p.m. ET (NESN). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 3-0
On the back of a 3-RBI night from 2B Ozzie Albies, the Braves crushed the Red Sox 8-3 on Tuesday. Atlanta has won 2 in a row and 3 of its last 4. The Braves sit 2nd in the NL East and 15-12 straight up on the road this season.
The Red Sox, who are just 13-18 at home, have dropped 4 of their last 6 games and have been outscored by the Braves in their 3 battles this season by a combined 17-5. Boston sits 3rd in the AL East and is 26-35 against the spread (ATS).
Braves at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Spencer Schwellenbach vs. RHP Nick Pivetta
Schwellenbach (0-1, 5.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 5 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 7-2 home loss to the Washington Nationals on May 29
- Skipped over Triple-A; was promoted to Double-A 3 weeks ago before being called up to Atlanta
- 2024 stats with Double-A Mississippi: 2-0, 0.00 ERA (13 IP), 0.46 WHIP in 2 starts
Pivetta (2-4, 4.08 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 35 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 9 K in a 5-0 home loss to the Detroit Tigers on May 30
- 2024 home splits: 2-2, 3.00 ERA (21 IP, 7 ER), 16 H, 5 HR, 2 BB, 22 K in 4 starts
- Career vs. Braves: 7-5, 5.30 ERA (93 1/3 IP, 55 ER), 1.39 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 20 appearances (16 starts)
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!
Braves at Red Sox odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:41 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Red Sox -106 (bet $106 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+138) | Red Sox +1.5 (-166)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Braves at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 5, Braves 4
Moneyline
BET RED SOX (-106).
Atlanta is 10 games above .500 on the season but is just 17-16 after a win, which it will be here. Couple that with Boston, which is 16-14 straight up as an underdog, and there’s reason to back the home side.
The inexperience of Schwellenbach, who gave up 3 ER in his 1st time on the mound, is of concern as well. While Pivetta hasn’t been overly consistent, he has been a solid option for most of the season.
Put it all together and back RED SOX (-106).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There’s just no real value here.
The Braves are the run-line favorite, but they are too expensive, especially considering it’ll be difficult to win a 4th straight game on the year over the Red Sox.
Avoid Boston as a run-line underdog as well.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 9.5 (-105).
The Braves have gone Under in 3 of their last 5 games, and they are 21-34-1 O/U on the season, making them the 4th-worst Over-hitting team in the MLB. Atlanta has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 4 of its last 5 games.
The Red Sox might have gone Over in 4 straight games, but have gone Under the total in Pivetta’s last 2 starts and are still 25-32-4 O/U on the season.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]