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The Atlanta Braves (35-29) visit the Baltimore Orioles (44-22) Wednesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 1-0.
The Braves have lost 4 games in a row after falling 4-0 against the Orioles Tuesday and failing to cover as -141 road favorites. DH Marcell Ozuna was the only Atlanta player to have multiple hits while LHP Max Fried allowed 4 ER in 5 innings to pick up the loss.
Baltimore has won 5 games in a row after Tuesday’s win while covering as a +123 home favorite. SS Jorge Mateo led the way on offense with a 3-run homer while RHP Albert Suarez allowed 0 ER in 5 1/3 innings to pick up the win.
Braves at Orioles projected starters
RHP Spencer Schwellenback vs. LHP Cade Povich
Schwellenbach (0-2, 8.38 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 2.79 BB/9 and 8.38 K/9 through 9 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 9-0 loss at Boston Red Sox Wednesday.
- In his first 2 games in the MLB, he has allowed 9 ER and 2 HR while walking 3 and striking out 9.
Povich (0-1, 10.13 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.69 WHIP, 6.75 BB/9 and 3.38 K/9 through 5 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 6-5 loss at Toronto Blue Jays Thursday.
- In 11 games in the minors this season, he went 5-1 with a 3.18 ER and a 1.11 WHIP.
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Braves at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Orioles -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves +1.5 (-190) | Orioles -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Braves at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 6, Braves 5
Moneyline
LEAN ORIOLES (-125).
The Orioles are 7-3 in their last 10 games including 5-0 in their last 5. They have held opponents to 3 or fewer runs in each of their last 5 games while scoring 4 or more in each game during that span. The Braves are just 4-6 in their last 10 including 0-4 in their last 4 and 1-5 in their last 6 on the road. Wednesday will be a battle between 2 rookie starting pitchers with 3 games total experience combined.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There is minimal value on the run line in this matchup.
Over/Under
BET OVER 9 (+100).
With both pitchers having an 8.30 ERA or above through their first few starts, going against 2 of the top offenses in the MLB, the Over has a strong chance of hitting. The Braves have hit the Over in 2 of their last 3 games while the Orioles have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 9.
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