The Texas A&M Aggies (2-1) welcomes the Arkansas Razorbacks (3-0) to AT&T Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Arkansas at Texas A&M odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Razorbacks are undefeated with their most notable win over the Cincinnati Bearcats, beating them 31-24 to commence the season.
Arkansas beat South Carolina 44-30 the following week and then Missouri State 38-27. QB KJ Jefferson is the star of the show for the Arkansas offense, throwing for 770 yards and 6 TDs through 3 games.
A&M suffered a season-defining loss to Appalachian State 17-14 in Week 2, but then easily bounced back with a 17-9 win over the ranked Miami Hurricanes in Week 3.
The Aggies started LSU transfer QB Max Johnson against Miami, and he’ll likely continue as their starter in Week 4. Arkansas is No. 10 and Texas A&M is No. 20 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
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Arkansas at Texas A&M odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5:10 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Arkansas +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Texas A&M -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Arkansas +2.5 (-115) | Texas A&M -2.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Arkansas at Texas A&M picks and predictions
Prediction
Arkansas 20, Texas A&M 17
Money line
BET ARKANSAS (+110).
This will be Texas A&M’s 4th straight home game, and it’s not at Kyle Field. The Aggies crushed Sam Houston and beat Miami, however, it was more about the inept Hurricanes’ offense.
Johnson played well but hit just 10-of-20 passes for 140 yards, relying heavily on the defense. They’re going to have to score against a Razorbacks side with one of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the nation.
Arkansas has a win over Cincinnati, which has an elite linebacking corps and a solid offensive line, putting up 31 points.
Having difficulty with Missouri State was more about how well former Utah and Utah State QB Jason Shelley played than Arkansas’ ability to pull away from teams.
The Razorbacks have a solid win and are going against a team not truly at home and without much to show on the season. I’ll back ARKANSAS (+110) here.
Against the spread
SPRINKLE ARKANSAS +2.5 (-115).
Obviously, I like the Razorbacks here, and I’d rather pass on the 2.5-point spread for the better money line value. If you want to play this, it’s a strong play, but it’s not the one I’d prefer.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 49.5 (-105).
Arkansas has a strong offense with Jefferson leading the way. He put up 3 TDs on Cincinnati, but this Aggies’ defense, despite being short several cornerbacks, played well against the Hurricanes.
Johnson and company did little to help as they had almost half as many first downs — 27 to 16. The left-handed QB didn’t show much control or efficiency on 3rd down either, converting just 4 of 12.
Playing this game at the Aggies pace means a good chunk of rushes. Against Cincinnati, the Arkansas lead back, RB Raheim Sanders, combined with Jefferson to total 38 carries.
Put it all together, and points may be a premium in this game.
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