The Arizona Diamondbacks (57-52) wrap up a 4-game road series against the San Francisco Giants (60-49) on Thursday. First pitch from Oracle Park is at 3:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 5-5
The Diamondbacks lost 4-2 Wednesday and 4-3 Tuesday after taking the series opener 4-3 on Monday. They have just 3 wins in their last 13 games and are now 3 games behind the Giants for 2nd place in the NL West and 5½ games back of the division-leading Los Angeles Dodgers.
The Giants have now won 6 of their last 8 games after losing 6 in a row from July 19-24. Their recent surge has them 2½ games back of the Dodgers.
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Diamondbacks at Giants projected starters
RHP Brandon Pfaadt vs. LHP Scott Alexander
Pfaadt (0-4, 8.20 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.63 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 37 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 4-3 home win over Seattle Mariners Saturday
- Diamondbacks have lost 3 of his last 4 starts
Alexander (6-1, 3.13 ERA) makes his 4th start and 37th appearance. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 through 31 2/3 IP.
- Expected to serve as an opener for a bullpen game
- Allowed an unearned run in the 10th inning of the series-opening loss Monday
- Has not allowed an earned run in his last 4 appearances
Diamondbacks at Giants odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:46 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Giants -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-160) | Giants -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Diamondbacks at Giants picks and predictions
Prediction
Giants 4, Diamondbacks 3
Moneyline
Pfaadt has been better in his last 2 starts for the Diamondbacks but the Giants are going with a bullpen game and have a 3.64 reliever ERA, the 5th-lowest in baseball.
The Giants have not won more than 2 games in a row in their last 14 overall.
The Diamondbacks have lost their last 3 series and 4 of their last 5.
An Arizona win is hard to predict with how they are playing and the line for the Giants (-160) is just too pricey considering the bullpen game angle.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games but 5-10 ATS in their last 15 overall. Four of their last 6 wins have been by only 1 run.
Two of the Giants’ 5 wins over the Diamondbacks have been by only 1 run.
The Giants have scored no more than 4 runs in 13 of their last 14 games so we can expect a close game.
BET DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-160).
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Over/Under
Nine of the Giants’ last 10 games have not reached 9 total runs.
Seven of the Diamondbacks’ last 8 games have had 8 or fewer total runs.
All 3 games in this series have resulted in 7 or fewer total runs.
BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).
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