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The Arizona Diamondbacks (71-56) and Miami Marlins (46-80) close out a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from loanDepot Park is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Diamondbacks lead 3-2
The Diamondbacks, who had lost 3 in a row entering the series, seek a 3-game sweep of Miami. They won the Monday opener 9-6 and picked up a 3-1 win Tuesday. OF Corbin Carroll homered for the 5th time in 10 games. They have won 10 of their last 11 series.
The Marlins have lost 5 straight series. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games and 8 of their last 11.
Diamondbacks at Marlins projected starters
LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. RHP Roddery Munoz
Montgomery (8-6, 6.25 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.66 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 89 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 11-4 home win over Colorado Rockies Aug. 14
- 2024 vs. Miami: 1-0, 1 home start (May 25), 6 IP, 2 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-2 victory
- Career vs. Miami: 2-0, 2.35 ERA (23 IP, 6 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in 4 starts
Munoz (2-7, 5.88 ERA) makes his 16th start and 17th appearance. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 78 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 4 ER (5 R), 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 7-3 road loss to New York Mets Friday
- Is 0-2 with 8.25 ERA in 3 August starts
- Has never faced Arizona
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Diamondbacks at Marlins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Marlins +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (-105) | Marlins +1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Diamondbacks at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Marlins 6, Diamondbacks 5
Moneyline
Montgomery has been the Diamondbacks’ least consistent starter this season. He has allowed 4+ runs in 7 starts this season.
Munoz hasn’t been good this month, posting an 8.25 ERA, but the Marlins haven’t been swept since losing 3 games to the Houston Astros July 9-11.
BET MARLINS (+140).
Run line/Against the spread
In 9 of the last 10 games that the Marlins have covered the spread, they have won outright.
The Diamondbacks are 6-16 ATS on the road as favorites this season.
So while betting the run line isn’t a bad wager, the +140 odds on the moneyline are better.
PASS.
Over/Under
Twelve of Montgomery’s 19 starts have had at least 9 runs.
Seven of Arizona’s last 10 games have had totals of 9 or more runs.
Nine of Miami’s last 14 games have reached 9 or more total runs.
BET OVER 8.5 (-105).
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