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The Arizona Diamondbacks (41-43) and Los Angeles Dodgers (52-33) begin a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network/ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 3-3
The Diamondbacks won 2 of 3 games in the first series at Dodger Stadium May 20-22, returning the favor after Los Angeles took 2 of 3 games in Phoenix April 29-May 1. Like the season series, the Over-Under is also 3-3 through 6 games.
Arizona won 2 of 3 games over the weekend against the Oakland A’s, including a 3-0 shutout Saturday and a 5-1 win Sunday — the Under cashed in both.
Los Angeles suffered a pair of losses in a 3-game set in San Francisco, bookending a 14-7 win in 11 innings Saturday with losses Friday and Sunday. The Over cashed in all 3 games as the wind was mostly blowing out to the left-center field power alley all weekend.
At home, Los Angeles is just 3-4 in the past 7 games, while the Under is 5-2 in those games with the offense managing 4 or fewer runs at Dodger Stadium in 6 of those 7 outings, good for an average of just 3.0 runs per game (RPG).
Diamondbacks at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Ryne Nelson vs. RHP Bobby Miller
Nelson (5-6, 5.69 ERA) makes his 14th start and 15th appearance. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 68 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 10 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 8-3 home setback vs. Minnesota Twins Wednesday
- 2024 road splits: 2-3, 4.64 ERA (33 IP, 17 ER), 1.39 WHIP, .275 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 7 HR, 10 BB, 21 K in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance
- 2024 vs. Dodgers: 1 start, win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 6-0 road win May 22
- Career vs. Dodgers: 2-0, 1.59 ERA (17 IP, 3 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 0 HR, 7 BB, 14 K in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance
Miller (1-1, 6.75 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.65 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 20 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 2 IP, 3 ER, 4 H (1 HR), 3 BB, 1 K in 4-3 win at Chicago White Sox June 25
- 2024 home splits: 1 start, win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 11 K in 6-3 victory vs. St. Louis Cardinals March 29
- Career vs. Diamondbacks (regular season): 1-0, 3.00 ERA (12 IP, 4 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 1 HR, 6 BB, 8 K in 2 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Diamondbacks at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:14 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-120) | Dodgers -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Diamondbacks at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Diamondbacks 4
Moneyline
The Dodgers (-190) are a little on the pricey side, costing nearly 2 times your potential return. While it’s not recommended to bet Los Angeles straight up, including L.A. in a multi-leg or same-game parlay is not a bad idea.
Run line/Against the spread
The DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-120) have been a major thorn in the side of the Dodgers in recent seasons, including a stunning playoff sweep in a 2023 NLDS.
Arizona has won 6 of the past 9 head-to-head meetings, but there is risk backing Nelson, who has an ERA just short of 6 runs. Arizona has won 4 of the past 5 games at Dodger Stadium, though. If you want some insurance, and can’t bet Arizona straight up, this isn’t priced out of line.
Over/Under
PASS on the O/U 9 as my prediction comes right down on the number.
We’ve had 3 Over and 3 Under results in 6 meetings this season. In addition, Los Angeles has split the Over-Under in each of its past 6 outings, while the Over-Under is 8-8 across the previous 16 contests for Arizona.
There is no strong trend one way or the other. Focus on the run line and AVOID the total.
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