The Arizona Diamondbacks (54-43) begin the final leg of their 9-game road trip with the 1st game of 3 meetings against the Cincinnati Reds (52-46) on Friday, First pitch from Great American Ball Park is at 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Reds won 4 of 7 games in 2022
The Diamondbacks are 4-9 in their last 13 games and 2-4 on their current road trip. Arizona did take 2 out of 3 games on the road from the Atlanta Braves, but were unable to complete the 3-game sweep, losing 7-5 on Thursday. The D-backs are 2 games back of the NL West-leading Los Angeles Dodgers.
The Reds are coming off 2 straight wins at home to split the 4-game series with the San Francisco Giants. They lost 6 games in a row before that and sit 2nd in the NL Central, 2 1/2 games behind the Milwaukee Brewers.
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Diamondbacks at Reds projected starters
LHP Tommy Henry vs. RP Ben Lively
Henry (5-2, 3.89 ERA) makes his 15th start and 16th appearance. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 78 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 7-5 road loss to Toronto Blue Jays on Sunday
- Is 2-1 with 2.20 ERA over last 5 starts (28 2/3 IP)
Lively (4-5, 3.72 ERA) makes his 10th start and 12th appearance. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 55 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 4-3 home loss to Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday
- Is 1-1 with 2.79 ERA over last 4 starts (19 1/3 IP)
Diamondbacks at Reds odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:56 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Reds -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-185) | Reds -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Diamondbacks at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 6, Reds 4
Moneyline
The Diamondbacks are 10-4 when Henry starts, but have lost his last 2 outings after winning 6 straight of his starts. They are 28-19 on the road this season while the Reds are 25-26 at home and 2-5 on the current homestand.
Arizona has scored at least 5 runs in 4 straight games while the Reds have been held to under 5 runs in 6 of their last 8.
BET DIAMONDBACKS (+100).
Run line/Against the spread
The Reds are 62-36 ATS overall this season, the best mark in the majors and have covered the spread in 3 straight games. They are 4-3 ATS since returning from the All-Star Break.
The Diamondbacks are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games but are 54-43 ATS overall and 30-17 ATS on the road.
But betting the Diamondbacks to simply cover isn’t a great bet, especially when they are 28-19 S/U on the road and have bene successful in Henry’s starts this season.
PASS.
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Over/Under
Three of Arizona’s last 4 games have had more than 10 total runs, but the Reds have only had 1 of their last 8 games with 11 or more total runs. Also, 4 of Henry’s last 5 starts have not reached 11 runs.
BET UNDER 10.5 (-105).
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