Alabama at Texas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Alabama at Texas odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Alabama Crimson Tide (1-0) travel to Austin to take on the Texas Longhorns (1-0) Saturday. Kickoff from DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium is set for noon ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Alabama vs. Texas school odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Crimson Tide are coming off of a 55-0 win against Utah State in Week 1. They racked up a staggering 559 yards of offense while only allowing 136. QB Bryce Young started off his Heisman-hopeful campaign with 5 passing TDs while rushing for 100 yards and a TD on just 5 carries. He will look to continue his dominance on the road against the Longhorns in a pivotal game for both teams.

The Longhorns also enter play after a Week 1 tune-up game, a 52-10 win over Louisiana-Monroe. Ohio State transfer QB Quinn Ewers threw 2 TD passes while RB Bijan Robinson rushed for 71 yards and a TD. The Longhorns cannot afford any sloppy play or unforced turnovers against the top-seeded Crimson Tide.

Alabama is No. 1 and Texas is No. 22 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Alabama at Texas odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:18 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Alabama -1400 (bet $1,400 to win $100) | Texas +750 (bet $100 to win $750)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Alabama -20.5 (-105) | Texas +20.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 65.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Alabama at Texas picks and predictions

Prediction

Alabama 49, Texas 17

Money line

Take ALABAMA (-1400). Although this is the College GameDay game and the home crowd is sure to bring the energy, the Crimson Tide are not going to fumble the bag this early in the season. They were 9-0 as favorites last year and will continue that streak at least through Week 2. You will not make a large return on investment here, but you are sure to be throwing your money away if you ride with the Longhorns.

Against the spread

While I think Alabama will run away with this game, the spread is too high for me to suggest anything other than PASS. Do I think Alabama will win by more than 3 possessions? Yes. Is it entirely possible that Texas stays within 3 possessions? Also yes, making it not worth the risk. The Crimson Tide were 3-4 last season when they were 20-point favorites or more and 8-6 overall against the spread while the Longhorns were 5-7.

Over/Under

I am riding with the UNDER 65.5 (-115). Similar to the spread, 66 points is a bit too high to feel confident in. With such a strong Crimson Tide defense, the only way I can see it hitting is with the Tide putting up similar numbers to last week rather than the Longhorns keeping up.

Only 5 of the 15 Alabama games and 5 of 12 Texas games last year hit this total.

Furthermore, Tide games averaged 61.3 points last year and Longhorns games averaged 59.5 points, both of which are under the total for this matchup.

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