The No. 9 Alabama Crimson Tide (10-2, 0-0 SEC) take on the No. 20 Mississippi State Bulldogs (11-1, 0-0) Wednesday. Tip-off from Humphrey Coliseum is at 9 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Alabama vs. Mississippi State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
Alabama comes into this game as one of the highest-scoring teams in the nation with an average of 83.7 points per game (17th). The Crimson Tide rely on the 3-point shot for much of their offense, and when the shot is hitting, they’re hard to beat. However, they’re only converting at a 34.0% rate, ranking 172nd in the nation, so they’re getting into some battles.
Mississippi State is a defensive-minded team that will attempt to keep this game low scoring. Mississippi State comes in ranked No. 3 in scoring defense with just 52.6 points allowed per game.
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Alabama at Mississippi State odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:37 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Alabama -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mississippi State +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Alabama -1.5 (-105) | Mississippi State +1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 140.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Alabama at Mississippi State picks and predictions
Prediction
Alabama 67, Mississippi State 60
Moneyline
PASS.
With the spread being only 1.5 points, wagering money on the moneyline is not worth it. Save your wager to get Alabama at the spread number.
Against the spread
BET ALABAMA -1.5 (-120).
Alabama will score some in this game, but Mississippi State will hold the scoring down. It will be close, but the Tide will pull away in the final minutes, and I like them up to -3.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 140.5 (-110).
This will not be a high-scoring affair. Mississippi State’s 3rd ranked scoring defense will do enough for this game to go Under, and its offense will not be up to a high-tempo game.
Alabama has played 7 of its 12 games to the Over while Mississippi State has played 10 of 12 to the Under. I will favor the better defense and the home team in this one when it comes to the pacing of the game. UNDER 140.5 (-110) is my favorite play.
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