Alabama at Florida odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Alabama at Florida odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Alabama Crimson Tide (2-0) and Florida Gators (2-0) meet Saturday at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Fla. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Alabama vs. Florida odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

The Crimson Tide, No. 1 in the AFCA Coaches Poll, powered by USA TODAY Sports, won their first two games with relative ease. They worked over Miami 44-13 in a neutral-site game in Atlanta, before pushing past FCS Mercer by a 48-14 count.

The No. 9 Gators trail 26-14 in the all-time series and dropped each of the last seven head-to-head meetings. Each of the last three contests were in the SEC Championship Game, including a 52-46 loss last season.

Alabama at Florida odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at noon ET.

  • Money line: Alabama -600 (bet $600 to win $100) | Florida +420 (bet $100 to win $420)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Alabama -14.5 (-108) | Florida +14.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 59.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Alabama at Florida odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Alabama 41, Florida 24

Money line

Alabama (-600) will cost you six times your potential return, and that’s just too risky in a battle between Top 10 teams, especially taking the favorite on the road.

AVOID, and focus on the spread.

Against the spread

ALABAMA -14.5 (-108) heads into Saturday favored by more than two touchdowns. At the beginning of the season, this might have seemed like a crazy line; however, after completely burying Miami, and having an offense that looks like a well-oiled machine, it isn’t so crazy.

QB Bryce Young has looked tremendous so far. Florida also has a new quarterback. Actually, it has two; QB Emory Jones has been starting, but QB Anthony Richardson has shown tremendous athleticism and versatility. Both are dual-threat options, but facing a ‘Bama defense is much different than lighting up subpar FAU and South Florida defenses.

We’ll get a good idea where this Florida team is, and it’ll likely to go down by more than two touchdowns against a superior team.

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Over/Under

OVER 59.5 (-112) is the play. Remember, last season these teams met in an epic 52-46 battle, easily hitting the Over. Yes, QBs Mac Jones and Kyle Trask were under center for these teams, but the replacements have looked effective.

The Over is 7-3-1 in Alabama’s last 11 games against teams with a wining record, while the Over is 5-0 in Florida’s last five contests against winning teams. Look for plenty of fireworks.

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