Against The Spread: Forecasting Cowboys-Browns Week 4 tilt

The pick against the spread for the Dallas Cowboys and Cleveland Browns Week 4 matchup.

This hasn’t been a safe space for gamblers so far in 2020. It’s led people astray and for that, the Cowboys Wire has generously offered to give back all the money anyone’s paid to read these articles. Still, at this point there’s no where to go but up from here.

The Dallas Cowboys play host to the Cleveland Browns in the Week 4 match-up. These two teams are nightmare fuel for bettors, going a combined 1-5 against the spread so far in this young season. The Cowboys have yet to cover a spread, though it’s not as if they haven’t had their chances.

In the season opener against the Los Angeles Rams, a game Dallas was favored in by 2.5 points, a late pass interference call against Michael Gallup erased a chance to win and cover. In Week 3 against the Seattle Seahawks, a two missed extra points and a safety was literally the difference in whether or not the team covered. So while it looks bad, Cowboys backers have been more unlucky than bad through three games.

Dallas enters the game as 4.5 point favorites at BETMGM over the Browns. The recent trend in this exact game has not been kind to the team from North Texas. The last three contests when favored by between four and five points, the Cowboys have not only failed to cover the spread, they’ve lost outright, though the last time it happened was Amari Cooper’s first game with the team. Something’s got to give as Cleveland have lost their last five contests when underdogs by the same amount.

The Verdict: Things finally go right for the Cowboys and they put the Browns away, covering the 4.5 point spread while the under (55.5) hits.

On the season: 1-2 ATS, 1-2 over/under

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