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The Denver Broncos (3-2) welcome the LA Chargers (2-2) to Empower Field at Mile High Sunday. Kickoff is set for 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Chargers vs. Broncos odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Chargers won their first 2 games of the season, beating the Las Vegas Raiders 22-10 at home Sept. 8 and the Carolina Panthers 26-3 on the road Sept. 15. They followed those up with back-to-back losses. They lost 20-10 on the road against the Pittsburgh Steelers Sept. 22 and 17-10 at home against the Kansas City Chiefs Sept. 29. LA failed to cover as a 6.5-point underdog in its Week 4 battle before its Week 5 bye. It is 2-2 against the spread (ATS) and 0-4 O/U.
The Broncos lost their first 2 games, but have rallied off 3 straight wins. In Week 3, they beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26-7. They then beat the New York Jets 10-9 Sept. 29 and the Raiders 34-18 Oct. 6. Denver is led by coach Sean Payton and is captained by QB Bo Nix, who has struggled as a passer this season with 4 INTs and just 6 total TDs. The Broncos have allowed 18 or fewer points in 4 straight games and just single digits in 2 of the 4.
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Chargers at Broncos odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:05 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Chargers -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Broncos +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
- Against the spread: Chargers -3 (-105) | Broncos +3 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 35.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Chargers at Broncos key injuries
Chargers
- DE Joey Bosa (hip) questionable
- RB Gus Edwards (ankle) out
- DB Deane Leonard (hamstring) questionable
- OT Rashawn Slater (pectoral) questionable
Broncos
- WR Josh Reynolds (ankle) unspecified
- OT Alex Palczewski (ankle) unspecified
- C Luke Wattenberg (ankle) unspecified
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Chargers at Broncos picks and predictions
Prediction
Chargers 17, Broncos 10
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no reason to play the moneyline here unless one believes the Broncos will keep their winning ways up. Considering that seems doubtful, the preferred route is to pass on the Chargers’ moneyline and to play them on the spread.
Against the spread
BET CHARGERS -3 (-105).
The Chargers have been solid this season and even better against weaker opponents. They covered both times when they were favored, winning each outright by 10 or more points. As favorites, the Chargers are averaging 24 points per game.
The Broncos have scored 10 or fewer points each time this season when they’re coming off a 20-plus point performance. They are also just 1-1 ATS at home. Considering those trends and Nix’s struggles to sustain drives and play turnover-free football, take CHARGERS -3 (-105).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 35.5 (-110).
The Broncos defense is among the strongest in the NFL and is 1-3 O/U in its last 4 games, allowing a total of just 34 points over the last 3. Denver, as noted, has typically struggled offensively after exploding, which it did in Week 5 against the Raiders.
The Chargers are 0-4 O/U on the season. They have scored over 10 points in 2 of 4 games, and in the games they scored more than 10, they held their opponents to 10 or fewer.
With all that in mind, back UNDER 35.5 (-110).
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