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The Baltimore Orioles (85-68) welcome the Detroit Tigers (80-73) to Oriole Park at Camden Yards Friday for the 1st game of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Tigers vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tigers lead 2-1
The Tigers swept the Kansas City Royals in their last series, winning the finale 4-2 Wednesday. They closed as an underdog in 2 of the 3 games and ended up winning the 3 games byba combined 14-9. Detroit has won 4 straight games and 5 of its last 6. It is 41-37 on the road and 84-69 against the spread (ATS).
The Orioles beat the San Francisco Giants to close their 3-game series Thursday, winning 5-3 in the finale. They lost 2 of those 3 and have dropped 5 of their last 7. The Orioles are just 3-8 over their last 11 yet still sit 2nd in the AL East. They are 85-68 at home this season and 82-71 ATS.
Tigers at Orioles projected starters
RHP Keider Montero vs. RHP Corbin Burnes
Montero (6-6, 4.60 ERA) makes his 16th start and 17th career appearance. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 88 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 4-2 home win over the Orioles Sunday
- 2024 away stats: 3-1, 5.34 ERA (32 IP, 19 ER), 1.44 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 in 6 starts
- Career vs. Orioles: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (5 IP, 0 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 1.8 K/9 in 1 start
Burnes (14-8, 3.06 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 182 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 4-2 road win over the Detroit Tigers Saturday
- 2024 home stats: 7-5, 3.16 ERA (94 IP, 33 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 16 starts
- Career vs. Tigers: 2-0, 0.82 ERA (22 IP, 2 ER), 0.64 WHIP, 11.0 K/9 in 4 appearances (3 starts)
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Tigers at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:18 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Tigers +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Orioles -19 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-140) | Orioles -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Tigers at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 4, Tigers 3
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no great value here.
The Orioles should come out on top, and Burnes has been an ace for most of the season. However, they have struggled as of late and aren’t worth playing as an expensive favorite.
Run line/Against the spread
BET TIGERS +1.5 (-140).
The Orioles have struggled to win over the last few weeks, and they also haven’t won in decisive fashion either. They haven’t won by more than 2 runs since Sept. 3. Burnes has been a strong option for them, but he is just 2-4 in his last 6 home games and 2-4 in his lat 6 games overall.
Baltimore is 2-5 ATS over its last 7. The Tigers have been among the best covering teams in the MLB and are 5-1 ATS over their last 6. They have covered in Montero’s last 3 starts. Take TIGERS +1.5 (-140).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 7.5 (-105).
The Tigers have gone Under in 2 straight and in 6 of their last 7. They have allowed 2 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 4 games while scoring 4 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 7 games.
The Orioles are 3-5 O/U in their last 8 games and have gone Under in Burnes last 2 starts, allowing a combined 4 runs throughout those 2 games. With that in mind, back UNDER 7.5 (-105).
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