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The New York Yankees (86-62) welcome the Boston Red Sox (74-74) to Yankee Stadium Saturday for the 3rd game of their 4-game series. First pitch is set for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 6-5
The Red Sox lost to the Yankees 5-4 Friday, but they did cover, closing as a +157 moneyline underdog. Boston lost 2-1 to open the series Thursday but covered the spread there as well.
The Red Sox are 1-3 over their last 4 games and sit 3rd in the AL East. Boston has fallen off a cliff as of late, winning just 4 of its last 13 games. It is 39-34 on the road and 69-79 against the spread (ATS).
The Yankees have won 3 straight games, beating the Kansas City Royals in 2 of 3 before their series with Boston. New York sits atop the AL East and has been a solid 41-32 at home this season. It is 76-72 ATS.
Red Sox at Yankees projected starters
RHP Brayan Bello vs. RHP Gerrit Cole
Bello (13-7, 4.70 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 147 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 5 BB, 5 K in 12-3 home win over the Baltimore Orioles Monday
- 2024 away stats: 7-3, 4.58 ERA (70 2/3 IP, 36 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 13 starts
- Career vs. Yankees: 2-3, 2.66 ERA (40 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 7 starts
Cole (6-4, 3.36 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 75 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 2-1 road loss to the Chicago Cubs Sunday
- 2024 home stats: 2-1, 3.89 ERA (37 IP, 16 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 7 starts
- Career vs. Red Sox: 7-5, 4.84 ERA (102 1/3 IP, 55 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 in 18 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Red Sox at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Yankees -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-135) | Yankees -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 4, Red Sox 3
Moneyline
PASS.
The Yankees are the better team and have the better starting option on the mound but are too expensive to take on the moneyline here. Similarly, Boston is better played on the spread.
Run line/Against the spread
BET RED SOX +1.5 (-135).
The Red Sox are 6-2 straight up in Bello’s last 8 starts. He has already beaten the Yankees this season as well. Boston has scored well recently too, tallying at least 4 in 2 of its last 3 games. It has covered in 3 straight and in 4 of its last 5.
The Yankees are typically a favorite and have won 3 straight games but have failed to cover in all 3, winning each by 1 run. New York is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games. It is 1-2 in Cole’s last 3 starts as well.
Take RED SOX +1.5 (-135).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).
The Yankees are 1-6-1 O/U in their last 8 games, allowing 3 or fewer in 2 of their last 3 and in 6 of their last 9. They have gone Under in 4 of Cole’s last 5 starts.
The Red Sox have gone Under in 3 of their last 4 and are 1-4-1 O/U in their last 6. Boston has limited opponents to 3 or fewer in 3 of its last 5. Take UNDER 8.5 (-115).
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