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The New York Yankees (84-62) welcome the Boston Red Sox (74-72) to Yankee Stadium Thursday for the 1st game of a 4-game series. First pitch is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Red Sox lead 5-4
The Yankees beat the Kansas City Royals 4-3 Wednesday to close out that 3-game series. They won 2 of 3 against the Royals and won 2 of 3 against the Chicago Cubs in the series prior. New York is just 5-6 over its last 11 games. It is 39-32 at home and 76-70 against the spread (ATS).
The Red Sox beat the Baltimore Orioles 5-3 Wednesday, closing as a -127 moneyline favorite. They beat Baltimore in 2 of 3 and beat the Chicago White Sox in 2 of 3 the series prior. Boston has won 4 of its last 6 games and is a solid 39-32 in away games. It is 67-79 ATS.
Red Sox at Yankees projected starters
RHP Cooper Criswell vs. LHP Nestor Cortes
Criswell (6-4, 4.11 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 92 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 0 K in 7-5 home win over the Chicago White Sox Saturday
- 2024 away stats: 3-2, 4.43 ERA (44 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.37 WHIP, 6.6 K/9 in 11 appearances (8 starts)
- Career vs. Yankees: 0-0, 5.40 ERA (5 IP, 3 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 12.6 K/9 in 2 appearances (1 start)
Cortes (9-10, 3.97 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 163 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 14-7 home loss to the St. Louis Cardinals on Sept. 1
- 2024 home stats: 5-5, 3.19 ERA (84 2/3 IP, 30 ER), 0.99 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 in 14 starts
- Career vs. Red Sox: 2-0, 5.22 ERA (39 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.39 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 in 12 appearances (6 starts)
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Red Sox at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-145) | Yankees -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 4, Red Sox 3
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s not a lot of value here.
The Yankees are just a touch too expensive to take here, especially with Criswell, who has been solid this season, starting for Boston. Similarly, Boston is better played as a run-line underdog.
Run line/Against the spread
BET RED SOX +1.5 (-145).
The Yankees rank in the bottom half of the league in covering at home. They are just 32-39 ATS at home. Boston, at 40-31, sits in the top half of the league in covering on the road. The Red Sox have covered in 4 of their last 6 games.
New York is 4-2 over its last 6 yet 3-3 ATS in those games. It has had 2 1-score games in its last 4. Boston is 14-9 in games which Criswell has started as well. Take RED SOX +1.5 (-145) for a small unit given the juice put on the bet.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 9 (-120).
The Yankees have gone Under in 2 straight games and in 5 of their last 6. They have allowed 0 runs in 2 of their last 6 and 3 or fewer in 4 of those 6.
Similarly, Boston has gone Under in 3 of its last 4 and in 4 of its last 6. The Red Sox have been streaky offensively but have scored 3 or fewer in 5 of its last 8. Take UNDER 9 (-120).
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