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The Boston Red Sox (63-57) and Baltimore Orioles (72-50) play the 2nd game of a 4-game set at Camden Yards Friday at 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 6-1
The Red Sox dropped the 1st game of the series Thursday night 5-1. They scored a solo run on 7 hits and fanned 10 times. Things don’t get any easier Friday with RHP Corbin Burnes on the mound. The Red Sox have lost 6 of 8.
The O’s have won 4 of 6 and allowed 3 runs or fewer in 4 of those 6. SS Gunnar Henderson parked his 31st homer of the year Thursday. The Orioles are tied atop the AL East with the New York Yankees.
Red Sox at Orioles projected starters
RHP Cooper Criswell vs. RHP Corbin Burnes
Criswell (4-4, 4.02 ERA) makes his 14th start (19th appearance) of the season. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 71 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 6-0 victory at Colorado Rockies July 23
- One career start against O’s: Loss, 4 IP, 7 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 11-3 road defeat May 27
Burnes (12-4, 2.71 ERA) makes his 25th start of the season. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 149 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 7-5 victory Saturday at Tampa Bay Rays
- Career vs. Red Sox: 2-0, 1.42 ERA (19 IP, 3 ER), 0.95 WHIP, 16 K in 3 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Red Sox at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:52 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Orioles -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (+140) | Orioles -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Red Sox at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 5, Red Sox 2
Moneyline
The O’s are big-time favorites, and they should be. We’re not going to squeeze this much juice for their ML, though.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The O’s have won 6 of the last 9 matchups against the Red Sox, and all of those have been by multiple runs. Each of their last 11 wins have been by multiple runs. This team is much like the Los Angeles Dodgers were last season where you can’t play them on the ML, but their RL is money.
Take the ORIOLES -1.5 (+115).
Over/Under
It’s slated to be 84 degrees with an 11-mph wind blowing out toward left-center. I don’t trust the Red Sox to score enough runs to cash an Over. Burnes has made 2 starts against them this year and allowed a grand total of 1 ER over 14 IP.
Take the UNDER 8.5 (-105).
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