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The New York Yankees (64-45) and Philadelphia Phillies (65-42) meet Wednesday afternoon as they close out a 3-game set. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is slated for 12:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 2-0
New York has taken the 1st 2 games of this series and won 4 straight. Over the 4 games, the Yankees have piled up 40 runs.
Philadelphia owns MLB’s best record, but the Phillies are just 1-5 over their last 6 games and 3-9 across their last dozen.
Yankees at Phillies projected starters
LHP Nestor Cortes vs. LHP Cristopher Sanchez
Cortes (4-9, 4.13 ERA) is lined up for his 23rd start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 124 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 9-7 loss at Boston Red Sox Friday
- Career vs. Phillies: 1-0, 2.08 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 11 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 2 appearances (1 start), including 1-0 with 1.80 ERA (5 IP, 1 ER) in 1 start last year
- Has allowed 15 runs over his last 13 1/3 IP
Sanchez (7-6, 3.05 ERA) is tabbed for his 21st start. He owns a 1.26 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 115 innings.
- Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 3-1 home setback vs. Cleveland Guardians Friday
- Career vs. Yankees: 0-0, 18.00 ERA (1 IP, 2 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 1 relief appearance of 6-5 road loss in 10 innings July 21, 2021
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Yankees at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:09 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Phillies -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-175) | Phillies -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Yankees at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 6, Yankees 4
Moneyline
The lefty-lefty mound matchup favors the home nine. Philadelphia ranks 1st in MLB with a .780 OPS against port-siders. The Yankees rank a middling 15th at .713.
Sanchez has been terrific at home (1.75 ERA, 0.97 WHIP), and Cortes has struggled mightily on the road (6.18 ERA, 1.61 WHIP). The Yankee southpaw is backed by a listing and likely fatigued bullpen.
New York is just 2-5 over its last 7 series finales.
TAKE THE PHILLIES (-135).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS: Better leverage can be had on the ML.
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Over/Under
New York has banged out 44 extra-base hits while logging a .979 OPS over its last 8 games. Philadelphia has the big numbers against lefty pitching.
On a warmed-up, humid, wind-blowing-out afternoon with bullpen arms tilting toward ragged, BACK THE OVER 9.5 (-105).
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