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The Cincinnati Reds (50-55) welcome the Chicago Cubs (51-56) to Great American Ball Park Monday for the 1st contest of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Reds lead 5-2
Chicago won at the Kansas City Royals 7-3 Sunday, closing as a +161 underdog. The Cubs took the final 2 games of the 3-game set, tallying 16 total runs in the 2 wins. The Cubs are 24-31 on the road this season and 7-3 in their last 10 away games. Chicago is 51-56 against the spread (ATS).
The Reds lost at the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 Sunday as -107 underdogs. They were underdog in all 3 games against the Rays, losing Saturday and Sunday after taking Friday’s opener. Cincinnati has won 3 of its last 5 and is 8-7 over its last 13. This is Cincinnati’s 1st homestand after the All-Star break — they went 3-5 on an 8-game trip to start the 2nd half. Cincy is 5-2 over its last 7 home games — they are 25-28 at Grate American Ball Park and 57-48 ATS overall.
Cubs at Reds projected starters
RHP Jameson Taillon vs. RHP Carson Spiers
Taillon (7-5, 2.96 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 100 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 7 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 1-0 home defeat vs. Milwaukee Brewers Tuesday
- 2024 away splits: 2-2, 3.28 ERA (46 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 6 HR, 5.8 K/9 in 8 starts
- Career vs. Reds: 5-5, 4.79 ERA (88 1/3 IP, 47 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 16 starts
- First time facing Reds this season
Spiers (3-2, 3.83 ERA) makes his 6th start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 47 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 7-4 home win over Miami Marlins July 12
- 2024 home splits: 2-1, 3.94 ERA (32 IP, 14 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 4 HR, 8.2 K/9 in 7 appearances (3 starts)
- Career vs. Cubs: 0-0, 2.79 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 13 K/9 in 2 appearances (1 start)
- 2024 vs. Cubs: 1 relief outing, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 4-2 home loss June 9
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Cubs at Reds odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 9:33 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cubs -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Reds -104 (bet $104 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+142) | Reds +1.5 (-172)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -122)
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Cubs at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Cubs 5, Reds 3
Moneyline
BET CUBS (-112).
The Cubs haven’t played overly well on the road, but they will have the pitching advantage. Meanwhile, the Reds are also one of the worst teams in the majors as home underdogs at 6-11 straight up and 8-9 ATS.
Cincinnati hasn’t played at home since July 14, and it has gone 5-5 in its last 10 at GABP. Spiers hasn’t pitched well as of late either, having allowed 3 or more runs in 4 of his last 5 starts.
Considering the trends, BACK CUBS (-112).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There’s no good value here. The Reds (+1.5) as home underdogs are too expensive to take at -172, and the Cubs (-1.5, +142) are too risky, especially considering how poorly they’ve played on the road.
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 9 (-122).
The Cubs are 3-5 O/U in Taillon’s last 8 starts, and they have gone Under in 6 of their last 8. Chicago has scored 3 or fewer in 6 of 8 as well, so it hasn’t had an overly consistent offense. The Cubs are 45-58-4 O/U on the season.
The Reds, who are 46-55-4 O/U on the season, have gone Under in 3 straight and in 5 of their last 6 games. Cincinnati has scored 4 runs in its last 3 games — 1 total run in its last 2.
Neither team is batting well right now. TAKE UNDER 9 (-122).
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