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The Minnesota Twins (54-41) and San Francisco Giants (46-50) close out a 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Oracle Park is at 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
After losing the Friday opener 7-1, the Twins bounced back with a 4-2 win Saturday, getting 4 2/3 innings of scoreless relief from the bullpen. They have won 13 of their last 19 games and 6 consecutive series.
The Giants have dropped 5 of their last 7 games and hope to avoid their 3rd consecutive series loss.
Twins at Giants projected starters
RHP Chris Paddack vs. LHP Blake Snell
Paddack (5-3, 5.18 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 83 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 8-6 road win over Chicago White Sox Monday
- Career vs. Giants: 1-1, 3.82 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 11.2 K/9 in 7 starts — hasn’t faced San Francisco since 2021
Snell (0-3, 7.85 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.74 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 28 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 4-3 home win over Toronto Blue Jays Tuesday
- Making just 2nd start since June 3 due to left groin strain
- Career vs. Twins: 2-2, 5.97 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 in 6 starts — last outing in 2022
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Twins at Giants odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Twins +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Giants -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-175) | Giants -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Twins at Giants picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 6, Giants 3
Moneyline
The TWINS (+120) have won 6 consecutive series and are 8-1 in their last 9 series finales.
The key for them is 3 runs allowed. They are 11-2 in their last 13 games allowing 3 or fewer runs.
The Giants are 9-1 in their last 10 games when allowing 3 or fewer runs. Heading into Snell’s last start — a 4-3 win vs. Toronto Tuesday — San Francisco had allowed 4 or more runs in all of the 2-time Cy Young Award winner’s outings this season.
BET TWINS (+120).
Run line/Against the spread
The Twins are 26-24 ATS on the road and 12-10 ATS as road underdogs.
The Giants are 21-28 ATS at home and 13-20 ATS as home favorites.
But -175 odds are not good enough to bet the Twins to cover, especially when you can get plus odds on the moneyline.
PASS.
Over/Under
Six of Snell’s 7 starts this season have had more than 7 total runs.
Six of Paddack’s last 7 outings have had 8 or more total runs.
Ten of the Giants’ last 12 losses have had at least 8 total runs.
BET OVER 7.5 (-115).
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