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The Philadelphia Phillies (58-30) and Atlanta Braves (47-39) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from Truist Park is slated for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 2-2
Philadelphia won 8-6 against the Braves Friday, its 4th win in 5 games. SS Trea Turner had a huge night going 2-for-4 with 4 RBIs, including 2 home runs. RHP Aaron Nola earned his 10th win of the season, allowing 3 ER while striking out 8 in 6 innings.
Friday’s loss was the Braves’ 4th in their last 5 games. LHP Max Fried was roughed up for 5 ER on 11 hits in 6 innings. Despite the loss, 2B Ozzie Albies went 3-for-4 with a home run and 3 runs scored. The Braves also got a 3-run blast from DH Marcell Ozuna and a 2-run shot from 3B Austin Riley.
Phillies at Braves projected starters
LHP Ranger Suarez vs. RHP Spencer Schwellenbach
Suarez (10-2, 2.27 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 103 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 10 H, 2 BB, 0 K in 7-6 home victory against Miami Marlins Sunday
- 2024 road splits: 5-2, 2.06 ERA (52 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 8 starts
- 2024 vs. Braves: 0-0, 5.40 ERA (5 IP, 3 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 1 start, a 5-4 home win March 31
- Career vs. Braves (regular season): 2-2, 3.23 ERA (53 IP, 19 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 in 17 appearances (8 starts)
Schwellenbach (1-4, 5.68 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 31 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 4-2 home setback against Pittsburgh Pirates Sunday
- 2024 home splits: 1-2, 4.50 ERA (16 IP, 8 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 in 3 starts
- Never faced Phillies before
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Phillies at Braves odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies -104 (bet $104 to win $100) | Braves -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+150) | Braves +1.5 (-182)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Phillies at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 5, Braves 2
Moneyline.
PASS.
The odds aren’t bad here, but I’m going to put my wager on the run line with those plus odds.
Run line/Against the spread
BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+150).
The Phillies have the best record in MLB and are 25-16 on the road this season. They’ve won 4 of their last 5, while the Braves have lost 4 of their last 5 — 2 teams seemingly going in different directions.
Philadelphia also has one of the best pitchers in the National League going Saturday. He’s allowed more than 2 ER just once in his last 6 starts. Meanwhile, Schwellenbach has just 1 win on the season and has allowed at least 4 earned runs in each of his last 2 starts.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (-112).
I’ve got all the confidence in the world that Suarez will keep this Braves team in check Saturday evening. He has allowed 5 ER total over his last 28 IP against Atlanta.
The only question is how many runs will the Phillies score against Schwellenbach. This is their first look at him, so that gives him a slight advantage, but they’ll probably put up 3-4 runs.
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