Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (48-39) and New York Yankees (54-36) meet for game 2 of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 1:05 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Boston leads 3-1

Boston rallied for a 5-3 victory in 10 innings in Friday’s opener, covering as a +122 road underdog. DH Masataka Yoshida hit a game-tying, 2-run HR with 2 outs in the top of the 9th to stun the Yankee Stadium crowd. After a New York 1-2-3 bottom of the 9th, Boston SS Ceddanne Rafaela led off the 10th with a 2-run blast — remember each team gets a runner on 2nd in extra innings.

Yankees RF Juan Soto opened the bottom of the 10th with a single, moving the “extra-inning” runner to 3rd, but Red Sox closer Kenley Jansen retired the next 3 batters to finish off Boston’s come-from-behind victory and its 5th straight win. Meanwhile, New York suffered its 4th consecutive loss — which all occurred at home.

While it wasn’t really a bad beat since the Over/Under (8) pushed, it was a tough pill to swallow for Under bettors who were 1 out away from cashing a winning ticket.

Red Sox at Yankees projected starters

RHP Josh Winckowski vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Winckowski (2-1, 2.80 ERA) makes his 5th start and 15th appearance. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 35 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 4-1 home victory vs. San Diego Padres Sunday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-2, 6.52 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 9 H, 8 BB, 5 K across 2 starts and 3 relief appearances

Cole (1-1, 6.23 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 13 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 8-1 win at Toronto Blue Jays Sunday
  • Career vs. Red Sox (regular season): 7-5, 4.68 ERA (98 IP, 51 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 11.0 K/9 in 17 starts, including 0-2, 7.20 ERA (10 IP, 8 ER), 3 HRs in 2 starts last season

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:19 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Yankees -185 (bet 185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-145) | Yankees -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Yankees 4

Moneyline

PASS.

I like the Red Sox (+150) to cover with an outright win as underdogs. However, with Cole on the mound for the Yankees — even though he lost his last 2 outings vs. Boston — I prefer to play the Red Sox run line below.

Run line/Against the spread

BET RED SOX +1.5 (-145).

Boston has won 3 straight vs. New York and enters as the hotter team, being 7-3 in its last 10 overall games. The Yankees are 2-8 in their last 10.

Plus, the Red Sox are also 5-0 in their last 5 visits to the Bronx — and 6-1 in their last 7 there.

I would completely understand if you prefer Boston’s +150 moneyline. My suggestion is just don’t bet more than 1½ units between the 2 options — Boston’s ML and Boston’s RL.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-110).

The Over is 3-0-1 Boston’s last 4 games and is 8-1-1 in its last 10. The Over is also 8-1-1 in the Yankees’ last 10 outings and is 3-0-2 in the last 5 Boston-New York matchups.

Let’s ride that Over train — OVER 9 (-110) is the way to go.

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