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The Baltimore Orioles (45-24) welcome the Philadelphia Phillies (47-22) to Oriole Park at Camden Yards Saturday for the 2nd game of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Phillies lead 1-0
The Phillies took down the Orioles 5-3 in an 11-inning game Friday. That snapped a 2-game losing streak for Philadelphia. It has lost 3 of its last 5 yet is still 9-4 straight up over its last 13. The Phillies have the best home record in MLB and are the 3rd-best road team at 19-12. They are 39-30 against the spread (ATS) on the season.
The Orioles have lost 2 in a row yet have won 6 of their last 8. They have seen their offense stall over the last few games, scoring 4 or fewer in 4 straight. Baltimore is 23-14 at home this season and 5-3 over its last 8 at Oriole Park. The Orioles are the 2nd-best team ATS in MLB with a 41-27 record.
Phillies at Orioles projected starters
RHP Taijuan Walker vs. RHP Grayson Rodriguez
Walker (3-1, 5.40 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 43 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 6-5 home loss to New York Mets Sunday
- 2024 road splits: 2-1, 5.89 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.64 WHIP, 3 HR, 5.9 K/9 in 3 starts
- Career vs. Orioles: 4-1, 2.54 ERA (49 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 9 starts
Rodriguez (7-2, 3.27 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 63 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 9-2 road win over Tampa Bay Rays Sunday
- 2024 home splits: 3-1, 2.12 ERA (29 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 4 HR, 10.6 K/9 in 5 starts
- Has never faced Philadelphia before
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Phillies at Orioles odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:52 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Orioles -178 (bet $178 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Phillies +1.5 (-140) | Orioles -1.5 (+116)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)
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Phillies at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 5, Phillies 2
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no great value here. The Orioles (-178) have the better pitcher taking the mound and should use that to come out on top. At -178, they aren’t worth the moneyline play though.
Run line/Against the spread
BET ORIOLES -1.5 (+116).
The Phillies have lost 3 straight games in which Walker has started and are 0-3 ATS in those. They are 2-2 ATS as road underdogs, while the Orioles are 17-16 ATS as home favorites.
The Orioles have won 2 straight in which Rodriguez has started and both of those were by at least 5 runs. They are 3-1 ATS in his last 4 starts and have covered in 6 of their last 8 games. Rodriguez has also been far better at home with a sub-2.20 ERA.
Expect another strong performance, and take ORIOLES -1.5 (+116).
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (-122).
The Orioles are 2-3-2 O/U in their last 7 games, scoring 4 or fewer in 4 straight and have allowed 2 or fewer in 5 of their last 7. They have allowed just 4 combined runs in Rodriguez’s last 2 starts.
The Phillies are 3-7 O/U in their last 10 games and have gone Under in Walker’s last 2 starts. They have allowed 3 or fewer in 6 of their last 9 as well. Couple it all together, and back UNDER 8.5 (-122).
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