[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
The Philadelphia Phillies (46-20) and Boston Red Sox (33-34) play the middle contest of a 3-game interleague series at Fenway Park Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Phillies lead 1-0
The Phillies and Red Sox played to a 1-1 tie after the 1st inning Tuesday before Philadelphia picked up 2 in the top of the 4th, and 1 in the top of the 5th, to win it 4-1 behind RHP Zack Wheeler. The latter allowed just 1 ER, 3 hits and 1 walk with 4 K’s across 7 IP, while the bullpen tossed 2 scoreless frames. DH Kyle Schwarber swatted 2 solo HR to back the starter.
Philadelphia has won 5 of the past 6 outings, and 8 of the previous 10 contests, while cashing the Under in 7 in a row and a 10-0-1 clip in the past 11 outings.
Boston has scored 2 or fewer runs in 3 of the past 4 games while going 1-3 in the past 4 outings. The Red Sox pitching has had a tough time lately, allowing 4 or more runs in 4 straight outings. The Over has a 3-2 edge in the past 5 games while going 9-4-1 in the past 14 contests.
Phillies at Red Sox projected starters
LHP Cristopher Sanchez vs. RHP Nick Pivetta
Sanchez (3-3, 2.71 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 66 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 2-1 home win in 10 innings vs. Milwaukee Brewers June 4
- 2024 road splits: 1-2, 3.68 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.64 WHIP, .285 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1 HR, 13 BB, 19 K in 6 starts
Pivetta (3-4, 3.40 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 42 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 9-0 home victory vs. Atlanta Braves June 5
- 2024 home splits: 1-2, 3.80 ERA (21 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.03 WHIP, .192 OBA, 3 HR, 7 BB, 29 K in 4 starts
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!
Phillies at Red Sox odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Red Sox +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+128) | Red Sox +1.5 (-154)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Phillies at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 4, Phillies 3
Moneyline
The RED SOX (+108) are a decent value as short ‘dogs at home in this middle contest.
Boston turns to Pivetta, who was extremely sharp last time out, allowing just a single hit and 2 walks across 7 scoreless IP in a win. He’ll also pitch with a little extra incentive, as he faces his original major league team. He made 71 starts with 92 appearances across parts of 4 seasons with Philadelphia from 2017-20.
Run line/Against the spread
If you’re less confident and would like a little bit of insurance, RED SOX +1.5 (-154) isn’t priced out of line.
The Phillies -1.5 (+128) are an outstanding team, and they’re playing very well lately. However, Pivetta has a slight edge over Sanchez in the starting pitching battle. There is risk with Boston winning outright, though, as it is just 6-12 in 18 tries against a left-handed starting pitcher.
Over/Under
UNDER 8.5 (-114) is a solid play in the middle game of this interleague series.
The total has gone low in 2 of the past 3 games for the BoSox, including Tuesday’s series opener which saw just 5 combined runs with a total of 8.
The Phillies have been an Under machine, cashing low in 7 in a row while going 10-0-1 in the past 11 outings dating back to May 28. The Under has cashed in 3 straight starts with Sanchez on the bump, too, while the Under is also 3-0 in Pivetta’s past 3 starts and 7-1 in 8 starts overall this season.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]