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The Oakland A’s (26-41) and San Diego Padres (34-35) open a 3-game set at Petco Park Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the A’s vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Padres won 3-0 last season
The A’s dropped 2 of 3 games against the Toronto Blue Jays over the weekend, losing the series finale 6-4 in 10 innings as +114 home underdogs Sunday with the Over (8) hitting. Oakland has lost 24 of its last 33 games.
The Padres split a 4-game set with the Arizona Diamondbacks Thursday through Sunday. San Diego wrapped up the series with a 9-3 loss as -129 home favorites with the Over (8.5) cashing. The Padres are 2-6 over their last 8 games.
A’s at Padres projected starters
RHP Joey Estes vs. RHP Dylan Cease
Estes (2-1, 4.67 ERA) makes his 6th start. The rookie has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 27 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 2-1 home victory vs. Seattle Mariners Wednesday
- 2024 road stats: 1-1, 6.59 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 3 starts
Cease (5-5, 3.51 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 77 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 3-2 setback at Los Angeles Angels Wednesday
- 2024 home stats: 1-4, 4.34 ERA (29 IP, 14 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 in 5 starts
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A’s at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:07 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): A’s +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Padres -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): A’s +1.5 (-130) | Padres -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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A’s at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 6, A’s 4
Moneyline
The Padres (-225) will likely win, but it’s a losing proposition long term to bet MLB sides at -190 or higher.
PASS. Bet the run line and/or total instead.
Run line/Against the spread
The Padres have scored 10 or more runs in 2 of their last 3 games, and Cease has allowed 3 ER in back-to-back starts.
Estes has given up 4 or more ER in 2 of his last 4 starts, and the A’s have put up a total of just 12 runs over their last 7 games.
BET PADRES -1.5 (+105).
Over/Under
The Padres have scored a total of 26 runs over their last 3 games; I can’t bet the Under in this spot. Estes has given up just a single run over his last 2 starts, but the low total plus San Diego’s recent surge offensively makes me like the Over.
BET OVER 7 (-120).
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