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The Texas Rangers (30-32) welcome the San Francisco Giants (30-33) to Globe Life Field Friday for the opener of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Texas won 2023 series 2-1
The Giants lost 2 of 3 to the Arizona Diamondbacks in their last series, but did win the series finale 9-3 Wednesday as a -112 favorite to snap a 6-game losing streak. San Francisco sits 3rd in the NL West and is 29-34 against the spread (ATS).
The Rangers are also coming off a win, having taken down the Detroit Tigers 9-1 at home Wednesday. They lost 2 of 3 in that series yet beat the Miami Marlins in 2 of 3 the series prior. Texas sits 2nd in the AL West and is 27-35 ATS. It is 15-15 straight up at home this season.
Giants at Rangers projected starters
RHP Logan Webb vs. RHP Michael Lorenzen
Webb (4-5, 2.95 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 79 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 7-3 home loss to the New York Yankees Saturday
- 2024 road splits: 1-3, 4.34 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.47 WHIP, 2 HR, 9.2 K/9 in 7 starts
- Career vs. Rangers: 1-0, 1.47 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 in 3 starts
Lorenzen (3-3, 2.96 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 54 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 7-0 road win over the Miami Marlins Saturday
- 2024 home splits: 0-2, 3.26 ERA (19 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 1 HR, 6.1 K/9 in 3 starts
- Career vs. Giants: 0-0, 3.86 ERA (7 IP, 3 ER), 0.57 WHIP, 11.6 K/9 in 3 appearances (1 start)
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Giants at Rangers odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:21 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Giants -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Rangers +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants -1.5 (-+142) | Rangers +1.5 (-172)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Giants at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 4, Giants 3
Moneyline
BET RANGERS (+102).
The Giants have been struggling over the last few weeks, and those have continued even with Webb on the mound. San Francisco has lost 3 straight games in which he has started. It is also just 13-19 straight up on the road.
The Giants are the 3rd-worst team in the MLB as a road favorite at 4-7 straight up. Meanwhile, the Rangers have won 3 of their last 5 and throttled the Marlins 7-0 in Lorenzen’s last start. Considering those trends, back RANGERS (+102).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Rangers are far too expensive to play here as a run-line underdog, and the Giants, given all the reasons above, aren’t a great play as a risky run-line favorite.
Ultimately, avoid this play.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 7.5 (-105).
The Rangers have gone Under in Lorenzen’s last 4 starts and are 2-9-1 O/U in their last 11. Texas is 24-37-1 O/U on the season and has tallied 2 or fewer run 3 of its last 6 while allowing 3 or fewer in 5 straight.
The Giants have gone Over in 5 of their last 8 but have allowed 4 or fewer in 2 of their last 3. Considering the strength of the home side, take UNDER 7.5 (-105).
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