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The Arizona Diamondbacks (23-26) and Los Angeles Dodgers (33-18) wrap a 3-game series Tuesday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dodgers lead 3-2
The Dodgers hung on for a 6-4 victory in the series opener Monday as big favorites (-233) with the Over (8) hitting. The Diamondbacks returned the favor in Tuesday’s battle, winning 7-3 as moderate underdogs (+142), again as the Over (8.5) connected.
Arizona has still won just twice in the past 5 games, but the Over has connected in each of those contests. The 3 runs allowed Tuesday was quite an improvement as Arizona pitching had coughed up 31 runs in the previous 4 outings.
The Dodgers saw a 4-game winning streak snapped and suffered just their 2nd loss in the last 13 home games. The 7 runs allowed tied for the 2nd-most the staff allowed since yielding 9 runs to the New York Mets back on April 19. The Over is 6-3 in the past 9 for the Dodgers.
Diamondbacks at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Ryne Nelson vs. RHP Tyler Glasnow
Nelson (2-3, 7.06 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.88 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 29 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 8 ER, 11 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 13-0 home defeat vs. Detroit Tigers Friday
- 2024 road splits: 0-1, 4.63 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.46 WHIP, .347 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 3 HR, 0 BB, 10 K in in 3 starts
Glasnow (6-2, 2.90 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 0.90 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 in 62 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 7-2 home setback vs. Cincinnati Reds Thursday
- 2024 home splits: 4-2, 3.89 ERA (37 IP, 16 ER), 1.05 WHIP, .224 OBA, 5 HR, 7 BB, 45 K in 6 starts
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Diamondbacks at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Dodgers -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (+120) | Dodgers -1.5 (-145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Diamondbacks at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 7, Diamondbacks 4
Moneyline
The Dodgers (-300) cost way too much money straight up as you’ll need to risk 3 times your potential return on the moneyline.
Over the long haul, that’s a bad betting strategy which will have you in the red really quick.
PASS and look to the run line instead for better value.
Run line/Against the spread
The DODGERS -1.5 (-145) cost a pretty penny on the run line, but the risk is lessened considerably.
Nelson has been very giving for the Diamondbacks and can’t be trusted against the high-octane offense of Los Angeles, which is starting to get its swagger back lately. Plus, the Dodgers are going to be madder than a disrupted hornets’ nest after losing Tuesday, which is the perfect storm for Wednesday’s L.A. bettors.
Over/Under
OVER 8 (-115) is a strong play in this series finale.
First off, Arizona has cashed Overs 5 games in a row. Second, Nelson has been very giving, allowing 15 earned runs and 29 hits across 13 2/3 innings in his past 3 outings, while coughing up 3 or more runs in 5 of his 7 starts overall.
While Glasnow has a much better overall body of work, he has been tremendous on the road, and a little more giving at home. His road ERA is 1.44 this season compared to 3.89 at Chavez Ravine.
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