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The Texas Rangers (24-25) take on the Philadelphia Phillies (35-14) Wednesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Phillies lead 1-0
The World Series hangover continues for the Rangers, who have dropped 8 of 10 after a 5-2 loss in the City of Brotherly Love Tuesday. SS Corey Seager hit his 7th homer of the season but also had the Golden Sombrero with 4 K’s.
LHP Ranger Suarez cemented his unlikely Cy Young candidacy with 10 K’s over 7 innings of 1-run hurling Tuesday. Phillies 1B Bryce Harper hit his 11th homer of the season. The Phils opened the year 8-8 and have gone 27-6 since.
Rangers at Phillies projected starters
RHP Dane Dunning vs. RHP Taijuan Walker
Dunning (3-2, 4.10 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 37 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K May 4 against Kansas City Royals
- Returning from rotator cuff strain
- Has never faced Phillies before
Walker (3-0, 4.91 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 22 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 1 K Thursday against New York Mets
- Last 5 starts vs. Rangers: 1-2, 5.40 ERA, 1.68 WHIP, 16 K in 25 IP
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Rangers at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:14 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rangers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Phillies -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-175) | Phillies -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Rangers at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 6, Phillies 5
Moneyline
That’s not a typo when you read that Walker is 3-0 with a 4.91 ERA. He has received 6.5 runs of support per start. Tuesday’s win for Philadelphia snapped a 9-game skid against the Rangers, dating back to 2017.
It’s telling that a team that’s 20-8 at home is only a moderate -130 favorite against a team below .500. I’m on board with the fade of Walker. The wind is blowing out, and Walker has allowed at least 1 homer in 6 of 7 GS.
Take the RANGERS +110.
Run line/Against the spread
I’m targeting BRYCE HARPER OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES (-115) Wednesday. He’s 5 for 8 in his last 2 games, and with the wind blowing out, he’s a major damage threat.
Over/Under
As mentioned, the wind is blowing out at 10 mph, and the books have accounted for it with a big total. The Rangers are 3-7 O/U in their last 10, and the Phils are 6-3-1.
I am projecting an Over cash here, but I do not like the total at 10. Some shops are at 9.5, and I’m going to HOLD for it to fall back from 10 to 9.5 at MGM before getting in.
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