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The Atlanta Braves (20-10) and Los Angeles Dodgers (21-13) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Saturday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dodgers lead 1-0
The Dodgers won a thrilling series opener Friday, winning 4-3 in 11 innings. The Braves took a 1-0 lead in the top of the 1st inning, but the Dodgers scored a run in both the bottom of the 3rd and 4th innings to take a 2-1 lead. Atlanta tied it 2-2 in the top of the 8th to force extras.
In the top of the 10th, Atlanta took a 3-2 lead, but the Dodgers tied it 3-3 to go to the 11th. The Dodgers walked it off on an Andy Pages game-winning RBI single.
Atlanta has dropped 3 of the first 4 outings on the 6-game West Coast road trip. The Under (9) cashed Friday, and the total has now gone low at a 9-0-1 pace in the past 10 outings, while cashing at a 13-2-1 clip in the previous 16 contests.
Los Angeles has won 3 of the past 4 games, and 9 of the past 11 outings. The Under is on a 3-0 run, while connecting in 5 of the past 6 games.
Braves at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Bryce Elder vs. RHP Tyler Glasnow
Elder (1-0, 1.50 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 4.5 K/9 in 12 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 4-3 home win in 10 innings vs. Atlanta Braves last Sunday
- 2023 road splits: 5-3, 4.05 ERA (80 IP, 36 ER), 7 HR, 29 BB, 55 K, .256 opponents’ batting average (OBA) and 1.34 WHIP in 14 starts
Glasnow (5-1, 2.72 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 43 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 4-2 road victory vs. Toronto Blue Jays last Saturday
- 2024 home splits: 3-1, 3.60 ERA (25 IP, 10 ER), 21 H, 5 BB, 27 K with .221 OBA and 1.04 WHIP in 4 starts
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Braves at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves +1.5 (-135) | Dodgers -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Braves at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 4, Braves 3
Moneyline
The Dodgers (-175) are a little on the pricey side, costing you nearly 2 times your potential return. That’s too expensive for a marquee matchup with solid pitching on both sides.
Los Angeles won the series opener by a razor-thin margin. It should be another close, well-pitched battle Saturday evening at Chavez Ravine.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The BRAVES +1.5 (-135) aren’t priced out of line if you’d like a little insurance. It’s risky behavior betting against Glasnow, who has fit right in wearing Dodger blue. But Elder is pitching pretty well, and he has handled his own through the first 2 starts. Back the visitors catching a run and a half.
Over/Under
UNDER 9 (-120) is the best play on the board.
Elder and Glasnow have each put up a lot of donuts so far, and there’s no reason to believe that won’t continue in this middle game. Atlanta has gone low at a 9-0-1 clip in the past 10 games, so keep rolling with the Under until the Braves start ticking off Over results on the regular.
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