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The Oklahoma City Thunder and New Orleans Pelicans meet Monday for Game 4 of their best-of-7 Western Conference 1st-round series, which OKC leads 3-0. Tip-off from Smoothie King Center is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Thunder vs. Pelicans odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Oklahoma City routed New Orleans 106-85 on Saturday while covering as a 1.5-point road favorite. OKC’s defense continues to shine this series as rookie C Chet Holmgren now has 11 blocks while the Pelicans only have 10 blocks as a team.
The Thunder had 3 starters score 20-plus points in the win. No scorer for the Pelicans reached the 20-point mark and every player who played 10 minutes or more Saturday finished with a negative plus/minus.
Thunder at Pelicans odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Thunder -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Pelicans +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
- Against the spread (ATS): Thunder -4.5 (-115) | Pelicans +4.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 204.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Thunder at Pelicans key injuries
Thunder
- None
Pelicans
- F Zion Williamson (hamstring) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Thunder at Pelicans picks and predictions
Prediction
Thunder 107, Pelicans 96
Moneyline
PASS.
I expect the Thunder (-190) to pick up the win and complete the sweep here, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as such a heavy favorite. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET THUNDER -4.5 (-115).
The Thunder have covered the spread in back-to-back games and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games. OKC is also 4-1 ATS in its last 5 matchups with New Orleans overall, leading 2-1 ATS this series.
The Pelicans are also only 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games, making this bet even more safe.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 204.5 (-110).
The Under has hit in 3 of Oklahoma City’s last 4 games and is 5-2 in its last 7. For New Orleans, the Under is 4-1 in its last 5 games and is 6-3-1 in its last 10. The Under has also hit in 2 of the 3 games this series, being 6-3 in the last 9 OKC-New Orleans matchups overall.
This is only a lean because an Under number of 204.5 always comes with a fair amount of risk in today’s high-scoring NBA.
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