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The Milwaukee Brewers (14-8) and Pittsburgh Pirates (13-11) meet Wednesday in the 3rd contest of a 4-game series. First pitch from PNC Park is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Pirates lead 2-0
In Monday’s series opener, the Brewers put just 3 runners in scoring position in a 4-2 loss. On Tuesday, they managed just 3 hits. Milwaukee has filed 4 runs or fewer in 7 of its last 8 games.
Pittsburgh snapped a 6-game losing streak with Monday’s victory. Its offense has also been slowed of late: the Pirates have the same 7-of-8 stretch when it comes to plating 3 runs.
Brewers at Pirates projected starters
RHP Bryse Wilson vs. LHP Josh Fleming
Wilson (2-0, 3.29 ERA) makes his 2nd start of the season. He has registered a 0.88 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 13 2/3 innings.
- Made his last appearance Saturday, going 1 1/3 innings in relief; made his lone start this season April 17
- Career vs. Pirates: 2-0, 2.40 ERA (15 IP, 4 ER), 15 H, 5 BB, 13 K in 2 starts and 3 relief appearances
Fleming (1-0, 1.74) is a member of the Pittsburgh bullpen being called on as an opener. He has logged a 1.06 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 10 1/3 innings.
- Making his 1st start of the 2024 season; owns a 6.10 ERA over 22 career starts (vs. a 3.57 ERA as a reliever)
- Last pitched Sunday, going 1 inning in relief
- Has never faced Brewers before
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Brewers at Pirates odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Brewers +102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Pirates -120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+160) | Pirates +1.5 (-194)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -102 | U: -120)
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Brewers at Pirates picks and predictions
Prediction
Pirates 6, Brewers 4
Moneyline
PITTSBURGH (-120) is 5-1 across the last 6 series meetings.
This one is in the hands of the bullpens. Milwaukee’s (+102) 3.00 surface ERA ranks 7th in MLB; the Pirates’ 4.37 ERA ranks 21st. But the expected-ERA numbers, accounting for quality of contact, are very similar.
Peg the Buccaneers as being undervalued.
BACK THE PIRATES (-120).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS: better value on the ML.
Over/Under
The Over has been a lean all week but has so far gone 0-2. There are some clutch failings of late which are tamping down the batting numbers on both sides. The Pirates are 5 for their last 44 (.114) with runners in scoring position; the Brewers are 0 for 7 in this series.
A pitcher’s breeze is in Wednesday’s forecast, but the OVER 9 (-110) is still a lean.
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