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The Atlanta Braves (10-5) take on the Houston Astros (6-12) Tuesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 1-0
The Braves took the opener 6-1, but they navigated a 2-1 lead from the 2nd inning to the 9th before posting 4 runs in the final frame. The Braves have won 2 in a row and 3 of 4. DH Marcell Ozuna recorded his league-leading 22nd RBI Monday.
The Astros laid an egg, but at least 2B Jose Altuve cashed a +115 total bases prop for us. They scored just 1 run on 7 hits, and Altuve had 3 of them. He’s hitting .403 with 5 homers, 7 RBI and 14 R on the young season. The ‘Stros have now lost 5 of 7 in a rough start to the season.
Braves at Astros projected starters
RHP Reynaldo Lopez vs. RHP Hunter Brown
Lopez (1-0, 0.75 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 over 12 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 6 K vs. New York Mets last Tuesday
- 2 career starts vs. HOU: 0-1, 3.72 ERA, 1.96 WHIP, 4 K in 9 2/3 IP
Brown (0-2, 16.43 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 3.91 WHIP, 8.2 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 7 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 2/3 IP, 9 ER, 11 H, 1 BB, 0 K Thursday against Kansas City Royals
- 1 career start vs. ATL: No-decision, 4.2 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 7 K
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Braves at Astros odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:25 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Astros +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+135) | Astros +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Braves at Astros picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 6, Astros 4
Moneyline
The Braves are rollin’, and the Astros are not. Nor is their pitcher on the bump Tuesday, who has allowed 14 ER in 3 2/3 IP over his last 2 starts. Brown has a lot of ability, but something clearly isn’t clicking right now. For the bargain of a price, take the BRAVES -120.
Run line/Against the spread
I’m passing on the spread and going back to the well with Altuve. He’s 3 for 8 (.375) lifetime against Lopez and has 17 total bases the last 3 games.
Take JOSE ALTUVE OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES (+100).
Over/Under
The bats were quiet until the 9th Monday, but I think this one sneaks over. Lopez isn’t as good as his early numbers suggest. Likewise for Brown, who is better than his numbers suggest. Houston is 6-4 O/U over the last 10, and Atlanta is 7-3.
LEAN OVER 9.5 (-115).
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