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The Cleveland Cavaliers (43-27) take on the Miami Heat (38-32) Sunday with tip-off from Kaseya Center set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cavaliers vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Heat lead 2-1
The Cavs dropped their 3rd game in the last outings Friday, 104-91 to the Minnesota Timberwolves. G Donovan Mitchell had surgery to repair a nasal fracture and will be re-evaluated next week. G Darius Garland has 20 and 19 points in the last 2 games in his absence. The Cavs sit in 3rd place in the Eastern Conference.
The Heat were extinguished 111-88 by the New Orleans Pelicans Friday. C Bam Adebayo was held to 12 points to snap a 3-game streak of 20+. It was their 2nd loss in the last 3 games. The Heat are in 7th place, 1 1/2 games behind the Indiana Pacers to skip the play-in tournament.
Cavaliers at Heat odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:04 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cavaliers +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Heat -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Cavaliers +4.5 (-115) | Heat -4.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 202.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Cavaliers at Heat key injuries
Cavaliers
- G Ty Jerome (ankle) out
- G Donovan Mitchell (nose) out
- F Evan Mobley (ankle) questionable
- G Max Strus (knee) out
- F Dean Wade (knee) out
Heat
- G Tyler Herro (foot) out
- F Jaime Jaquez (ankle) questionable
- F Kevin Love (heel) out
- G Caleb Martin (knee) questionable
- F Duncan Robinson (back) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Cavaliers at Heat and predictions
Prediction
Heat 105, Cavaliers 103
Moneyline
Both teams are banged up, and it’s not out of the question for Cleveland to take this game. The Heat beat them in Cleveland 107-104 just 4 days ago without Adebayo. That said, I’m not paying -175 for the Heat to get it done.
Instead, I’m riding with Garland, who will be assertive with Spida Mitchell out. Take DARIUS GARLAND ALTERNATE OVER 20 POINTS (-135).
Against the spread
The Cavs are 21-13 on the road this season, and I give them a chance to take this game outright. So I’m good with them on the spread.
Take the CAVALIERS +4.5 (-115).
Over/Under
This total is too small and paying too much attention to the players who are out. We had 211 points in this matchup just 4 days ago with Adebayo out.
Take the OVER 202.5 (-115).
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