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The Boston Red Sox (76-82) and Baltimore Orioles (99-59) open a 4-game series Thursday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is slated for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 5-4
The Red Sox are limping to the finish line of the season, losing 16 of their last 20 games. They have been outscored 61-35 over their last 12 games. Boston is 37-40 on the season away from Fenway Park.
Baltimore comes home to Charm City with a chance to win the AL East for the first time since 2014 in front of the home crowd. The Orioles have won 4 straight games heading into this last series of the season against their division rivals.
Red Sox at Orioles projected starters
LHP Chris Sale vs. RHP Dean Kremer
Sale (6-4, 4.42 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 97 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 3-2 home victory vs. Chicago White Sox Friday
- 2023 vs. Orioles: 0-2, 12 IP, 18 ER, 22 H, 5 BB, 11 K in 3 starts, most recently allowing 7 R (6 ER) on 6 H and 2 BB with K over 4 IP in a 13-12 home loss Sept. 9
- 2023 road stats: 5-3, 4.47 ERA (52 1/3 IP, 26 ER), .235 opponent batting average (OBA) in 10 games
Kremer (12-5, 4.25 ERA) will make his 32nd. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 167 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 6 R (3 ER), 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 9-8 road loss vs. Cleveland Indians Friday
- 2023 vs. Red Sox: 1-0, 8 2/3 IP, 9 ER, 13 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 2 starts, most recently allowing 4 ER on 7 H and 1 BB with 5 K over 5 2/3 IP in a 5-4 home win April 24
- 2023 home stats: 7-2, 4.62 ERA (97 1/3 IP, 50 ER), .247 OBA in 18 starts
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Red Sox at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:02 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Orioles -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (+185) | Orioles -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Red Sox at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 6, Red Sox 4
Moneyline
BET THE ORIOLES (-140).
This is what the Orioles have been waiting for a long time — Thursday night they have a chance to win 100 games and win the AL East for the first time since 2014 — and they can also do it in front of their home crowd. It will be a special night at Camden Yards, especially for those Baltimore fans who have been waiting for this “rebuild” to take shape.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
Keep your bet to the moneyline and total, I really do not like these odds for either team. Just stay away.
Over/Under
BET OVER 7.5 (-115).
I love this bet so much that it might be worth 2 units in my eyes. This number is entirely too low. All 9 meetings between these two teams have gone over this total and most of the time it was not even close.
In Sale’s 3 outings against the Orioles this season, he has allowed 6, 5 and 7 earned runs. Kremer has allowed at least 4 earned runs in his 2 starts against Boston this season.
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