Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Toronto Argonauts odds, picks and predictions

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The Hamilton Tiger-Cats (6-7) and the Toronto Argonauts (11-1) meet Saturday for a Week 16 matchup at BMO Field in Toronto, Ontario. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (TSN+/CFL+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Tiger-Cats vs. Argonauts odds, and make our expert CFL picks and predictions.

The Tiger-Cats got off to a brutal start, but they’ve been better lately, winning and covering 3 of the past 4 games overall. Of course, the lone loss during that stretch was a 41-28 home loss to Toronto in Week 13. The Over (51) cashed in that one, and it is 3-0 in the past 3 outings for the Ti-Cats.

The Argonauts have won 11 of 12 games this season, including a perfect 3-0 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) mark against Hamilton. Since a stunning Week 9 loss at Calgary, Toronto has won 5 straight while going a respectable 3-2 ATS.

The Under is 2-1 in the 3 previous matchups between these provincial rivals, with the Over cashing in Toronto’s 41-28 win on Sept. 4 in the most recent meeting.

With last week’s 23-20 win in Montreal, the Argos clinched the East Division.

Tiger-Cats at Argonauts odds

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:34 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Tiger-Cats +350 (bet $100 to win $350) | Argonauts -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Tiger-Cats +9.5 (-115) | Argonauts -9.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Tiger-Cats at Argonauts key injuries

Tiger-Cats

DL Mohamed Diallo (knee) out
LB Chris Edwards (knee) questionable
DL Anthony Federico (knee) out
OL Joel Figueroa (shoulder) out
QB Bo Levi Mitchell (leg) out

Argonauts

OL Dariusz Bladek (foot) out
DL Jared Brinkman (foot) out
OL Isiah Cage (hamstring) out
DB Maurice Carnell IV (knee) out
RB Andrew Harris (knee) out
LB Henoc Muamba (knee) out
FB Spencer Nichols (head) doubtful
RB AJ Ouellette (healthy scratch) out
DB Jamal Peters (groin) questionable
WR Cam Phillips (groin) out

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Tiger-Cats at Argonauts picks and predictions

Prediction

Argonauts 26, Tiger-Cats 19

Moneyline

Toronto (-450) will cost you 4 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s just too much risk for not enough reward.

One has to wonder about Toronto’s motivation after wrapping up the East Division title. Ouellette, the team’s leading rusher, will be rested, and Phillips, the team’s 2nd leading receiver, is out with a groin issue. The Argos also have their 2nd best rusher, Harris, out with a knee ailment.

PASS.

Against the spread

HAMILTON +9.5 (-115) has rallied. The team was a mess in the 2 games following the injury to Mitchell, but the Ti-Cats have won 3 of the past 4 games, while also going 3-1 ATS. The Tiger-Cats catch Toronto the week after clinching, and that’s a good spot.

Will Hamilton scoot up the highway and steal a win in T-Dot? I’m not feeling that. However, it should be able to keep this game within single digits for its first cover of the season against Toronto, a team which is part banged up, and part cautious.

Over/Under

UNDER 49.5 (-110) is a strong play. I don’t like the fact the Argos are going to be without Ouellette and Harris, the top 2 backs. Yes, that could mean QB Chad Kelly is slinging it early and often, but I think the Toronto offense might be slightly disjointed in this post-clinch home game.

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