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The Minnesota Twins (80-72) and Cincinnati Reds (79-74) meet Wednesday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 12:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
Minnesota won 7-0 in Tuesday’s contest vs. Cincinnati, furthering their chances of being the only AL Central representative in the playoffs. With Tuesday’s win the Twins now sit 8 games ahead of the Cleveland Guardians as they look win the division for the 3rd time in 5 seasons.
Tuesday’s loss puts the Reds 1 game behind the Chicago Cubs for 2nd-place in the NL Central and a half-game behind the Miami Marlins for the final Wild Card spot. If the playoffs started today, Cincinnati would not be in.
Twins at Reds projected starters
RHP Bailey Ober vs. RHP Hunter Greene
Ober (7-6, 3.67 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 127 2/3 innings.
- Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 10-2 road win Friday vs. the Chicago White Sox
- Career vs. Cincinnati: 0-0, 8.31 ERA (4 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 1 start
Greene (4-6, 4.45 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 12 K/9 in 97 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 5-3 road win Friday vs. the New York Mets
- First career start vs. Minnesota
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Twins at Reds odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:04 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Twins -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Reds -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+155) | Reds +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Twins at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 7, Twins 4
Moneyline
LEAN REDS (-115).
This is a tough game to call, but I like the Reds to win here at home as they are fighting for a playoff birth. The Reds have struggled at home this year, with a 37-40 home record, but the Twins are just as bad on the road at 37-40. Cincinnati has also won in Greene’s last 3 starts while the Twins lost in Ober’s lone career start vs. the Reds.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I like the Reds to cover here but at +1.5 (-190) the line is not worth the risk. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 9 (-110).
The Over hit the 1st game, the Under in the 2nd game. The Over is 8-1-1 in the last 10 Reds-Twins meetings since 2018 and the Over and 5-0-1 in the Reds’ last 6 wins vs. Minnesota since then. The Over also is 4-1 in Ober’s last 5 starts overall.
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