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The Atlanta Braves (90-45) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (83-52) wrap up a 4-game series Sunday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 4-2
The Braves have outscored the Dodgers 18-12 in the 1st 3 games of this series, all victories by the NL East Division leaders. The Over has cashed in 2 of the 3 games so far.
Atlanta has won 6 in a row after Saturday’s 4-2 victory and has posted an impressive 8-1 record in the 1st 9 games of the road trip. The Braves have averaged 6.6 runs per game across the last 10 contests.
Los Angeles has dropped 3 in a row to Atlanta, but it still holds a healthy 13.5-game lead in the NL West Division over the San Francisco Giants, while maintaining a plus-164 run differential, 2nd in the NL to Atlanta (+241).
Braves at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Charlie Morton vs. RHP Bobby Miller
Morton (14-10, 3.29 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 147 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 8 K in a 3-1 road win vs. the Colorado Rockies Tuesday
- 2023 road splits: 7-5, 3.36 ERA (72 1/3 IP, 27 ER), 2 HR, 1.51 WHIP, .254 opponent batting average (OBA) in 13 starts
Miller (8-3, 4.00 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 87 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 7-4 home win vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks Monday
- 2023 home splits: 4-2, 5.28 ERA (44 1/3 IP, 26 ER), 6 HR, 1.22 WHIP, .243 OBA in 8 starts
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Braves at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:08 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Dodgers -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+150) | Dodgers +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Braves at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 5, Dodgers 3
The BRAVES (-105) are a decent bet to cap off the 4-game series sweep, sending a giant message to the rest of the league. The 90-win Braves have the league’s best record, but a 4-game sweep at Dodger Stadium would be super impressive.
Unfortunately for the Dodgers (-115), Miller has terrible splits at home, posting a 5.28 ERA in 44 1/3 IP across 8 starts at Dodger Stadium, as opposed to a sparkling 2.70 ERA in 43 1/3 IP in 8 road outings.
Run line/Against the spread
The BRAVES -1.5 (+150) are a decent play on the run line in this road series finale. Atlanta has not only won 6 in a row, and 10 of its last 11, but the Braves have won 5 of the last 6 games by 2 or more runs.
On the flip side, the Dodgers +1.5 (-185) have lost just 8 times since July 29. But in those setbacks, Los Angeles has lost by 2 or more runs 7 times. If you like Los Angeles to lose again, you should like it to fall by 2 or more runs, too.
Over/Under
UNDER 9.5 (-120) is the lean in this matinee series finale.
The Over cashed in the 1st 2 games of the series, but we had a well-pitched game with a total of just 6 runs on Saturday afternoon. We should see similar performances on Sunday, as Morton has been consistent all season. The concern is whether or not Miller can keep the Atlanta offense down.
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