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The New York Mets (59-67) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves (80-44) on Tuesday at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 8-3
The Mets defeated the Braves 10-4 Monday as OF DJ Stewart, OF Rafael Ortega, and SS Francisco Lindor all homered. New York has won 5 of its last 6 contests, but it remains in 4th place in the NL East race.
In Monday’s lopsided loss to the Mets, DH Marcell Ozuna hit 2 solo HRs for the Braves. Atlanta has lost 2 straight games, however, it is still 12 1/2 games ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies for 1st place in the NL East.
Mets at Braves projected starters
RHP Tylor Megill vs. RHP Bryce Elder
Megill (7-6, 5.53 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.70 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 86 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 5 K in an 8-3 home win against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday
- Road stats: 2-4, 8.20 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 34 ER) in 9 starts
- Career vs. Braves: 1-2, 4.66 ERA (36 2/3 IP, 19 ER) in 7 starts and 1 relief appearance
Elder (9-4, 3.46 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 138 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 3 BB, 3 K in a 5-0 victory over the New York Yankees last Tueaday
- Home stats: 5-1, 3.12 ERA (75 IP, 26 ER) in 13 starts
- Career vs. Mets: 1-0, 7.56 ERA (8 1/3 IP, 7 ER) in 1 start and 1 relief appearance
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Mets at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:33 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Braves -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (+105) | Braves -1.5 (-125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Mets at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 7, Mets 4
Moneyline
It’s hard to see the Braves losing 3 straight games, but I’ll PASS on wagering on the costly moneyline in this divisional showdown.
Run line/Against the spread
After getting blown out on Monday, I’ll take the BRAVES -1.5 (-125) at home on Tuesday with Elder on the mound. The Braves have defeated the Mets by at least 2 runs in 7 of their 8 wins against their division rivals this season.
Over/Under
OVER 10.5 (-115) is the lean in this matchup as Megill has been giving up runs often this season. Megill has surrendered at least 4 ER in 3 of his last 4 starts.
Since the start of August, the Braves boast the 3rd-best ISO (.217), the best wOBA (.372), and the 2nd-best wRC+ (132) against right-handed pitching. On top of that, the Over is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings this season.
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