Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (65-54) and Toronto Blue Jays (66-54) open a 2-game set Tuesday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 2-0

The Phillies lost 3-0 as -114 home favorites vs. the Minnesota Twins Sunday. Phillies 1B Alec Bohm was ejected for spiking his bat on a borderline called strike 3, which would’ve loaded the bases for DH Bryce Harper had it been ruled ball 4. Philadelphia has won 6 of its last 10 games and remains in 1st place in the NL Wild Card standings.

The Blue Jays won 11-4 as -112 home favorites vs. the Chicago Cubs Sunday. LF Daulton Varsho hit a 3-run HR in the 2nd inning and finished with 5 RBIs as Toronto avoided a 3-game sweep. The Blue Jays are still in the final AL Wild Card spot with a  2 game buffer on the Seattle Mariners.

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Phillies at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi

Wheeler (9-5, 3.74 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 137 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 8-4 home victory vs. Washington Nationals last Tuesday
  • 2023 road stats: 6-3, 3.44 ERA (70 2/3 IP, 27 ER) in 12 starts
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-2, 5.19 ERA (26 IP, 15 ER) over 5 starts
  • 2023 vs. Blue Jays: 0-0, 1.29 ERA (7 IP, 1 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 1 start, a 2-1 home victory in 10 innings May 10

Kikuchi (9-4, 3.53 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 122 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 1-0 loss at Cleveland Guardians last Tuesday
  • 2023 home stats: 5-2, 3.44 ERA (52 1/3 IP, 20 ER) in 10 starts
  • Never faced Phillies before

Phillies at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Blue Jays -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+145) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Phillies at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 3, Phillies 2

Moneyline

The Blue Jays are 5-2 this season as home underdogs and are coming off an impressive win vs. the Cubs.

The Phillies are just 26-27 after a loss this year, and Wheeler has allowed 3 or more earned runs in 5 of his last 8 starts.

BET BLUE JAYS (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

Toronto +1.5 (-175) should hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Blue Jays should win straight up.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

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Over/Under

The Under has gone 7-3 in the Blue Jays’ last 10 games and is 4-2-1 this season when Toronto is a home underdog. Kikuchi has allowed fewer than 2 earned runs in 5 straight starts and should have no trouble vs. the Phillies, who are 19th in MLB with just 4.43 runs per road game this season.

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

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